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New England Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Providence College Providence College Friars 24 19 43
2 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 21 31 52
3 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 31 30 61
4 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 59 39 98
5 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 40 60 100
6 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 66 36 102
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 52 71 123
8 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 82 90 172
9 Williams College Williams College Ephs 96 82 178
10 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 92 88 180
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 1 2 2 1 4 2 2 2 3 2 21 John Mcglynn '13
Molly Haley '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 2 1 1 3 2 1 3 3 2 6 24 Mike Bloomstine '13
Aimee Kelleher '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 7 3 2 7 5 1 1 1 1 31 Tommy Holmberg '13
John Cappetta '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 3 4 4 1 3 5 7 4 3 40 Will Humphrey '14
Eva Golden '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 4 4 6 6 3 6 7 6 6 4 52 Karl Ryder '16
Matthew Ferlotti '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 5 5 8 5 9 4 4 4 7 8 59 Rinchen Harrison '15
Ryan Collet '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 6 9 8 5 8 8 5 5 5 66 Terry Duncan '15
Annalisa Baratta '15
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges DNF DNS 7 7 6 7 6 8 10 9 82 Jared Dunn '13 [1-5]
Dan Marks '14 [6-10]
Todd Kerkland '13 [1-5]
Beth Cohen '14 [6-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNS DNS 5 9 10 9 9 9 8 DNS 92 Austin Smyth '15 [1-8]
Lyndsay Stockwell '14 [9-10]
Lauren Kovacs '15 [1-8]
Kimberly Jackman '16 [9-10]
Williams College Williams College Ephs DNS DNS 10 10 8 10 10 10 9 7 96 Jorge Castro '16
Alex Paseltiner '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Providence College Providence College Friars 1 2 3 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 19 Chris Aitken '15
Alexandra Zweig '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 3 6 3 4 1 2 2 4 1 30 Edward Moan '14 [1-10]
Samuel Wells '15 [1-4]
Katlyn Flynn '15 [5-10]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 5 4 4 1 1 2 3 4 2 5 31 Brooke Baker '13
Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 1 1 5 2 5 6 5 5 4 36 Nicholas Dragone '14
Cynthia Connard '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 3 RDG 2 7 5 4 5 3 3 3 39 Hollister Poole '15
Katelynd Sperry '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 6 5 4 6 7 4 7 6 7 60 William Dykes '15
Emily Peabody '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 7 7 6 8 6 8 8 9 6 71 Andrew Smith '14
Alexander Hunt '16
Williams College Williams College Ephs 7 9 10 8 9 9 7 6 8 9 82 Brent Bomkamp '15
Allison Carter '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 5 9 10 7 8 10 10 10 10 88 Matthew Szekalslvi '13 [1-6]
Timothy Donahoe '15 [7-10]
Alexandra Rice '16 [1-6]
Fiona O'Donnell '16 [7-10]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 10 10 8 9 10 10 9 9 7 8 90 Sarah Hyman '15 [1-5]
Jacob Hardy '13 [6-10]
William Widdis '16 [1-5]
Mary Ali Santana '16 [6-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1133557799
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges221010886644
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies7799113355
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners442210108866
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5577991133
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers3355779911
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats886644221010
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars664422101088
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals9911335577
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs101088664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats224466881010
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges1199775533
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies881010224466
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners3311997755
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers668810102244
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers446688101022
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats7755331199
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars5533119977
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals101022446688
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs9977553311

Conditions — 04/06/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 30%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 30°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 29.5 kn
From NW (310°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity30% Pressure1022.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn · S 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.54 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →