South 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 8 4 12
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 13 15 28
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 22 8 30
4 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 18 13 31
5 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 17 23 40
6 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 6 36 42
7 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 30 23 53
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 34 26 60
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 1 1 3 6 Gregory Dair '15
Jeffrey Tedmori '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 2 2 2 8 Shane Young '14
Foya Lazare '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 3 4 1 13 Cameron Hutcheson '14
Hollis Barth '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 4 5 4 17 Brian Hoover '12
Kate Andersen '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 6 3 6 18 Nicolas Delfino '16
Charlie Davidson '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 5 6 5 22 Cobi Allen '16 [1-2]
Ginger Luckey '16 [3-4]
Preston Beye '14 [1-2]
Grant Rickon '16 [3-4]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's DNF 7 7 7 30 Steven Cassingham '14
Austin Hodges '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins DNS DNF 8 8 34 Emelia Pelliccio '13 [1-2]
Gabriel Monti '15 [3-4]
Erica Parker '14 [1-2]
Zachary Chin '15 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 1 1 1 4 Mark Ryan '15
Nicholas Santos '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 2 2 8 Ian Stokes '16
Katherine Sander '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 3 3 4 13 James Roberts '15
Christopher Chopping '13
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 4 4 3 15 John Coakley '16
Olivia Gebelein '15
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devil's 5 5 7 6 23 Spenser Branch '14 [1-4]
Chad Hardgrove '15 [1-2]
Caitlyn Rector '15 [3-4]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 7 6 5 5 23 Nicholas Weis '15
James Heller '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 7 6 7 26 Nora Brackbill '13
Justina Leo '15
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins DNS DNS DNS DNS 36 Gregory Dair '15
Jeffrey Tedmori '15

Conditions — 02/24/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 27%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From NNE (32°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity27% Pressure1018.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Irvine: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.52 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Irvine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at UC Irvine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →