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SAISA South Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 14 17 31
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 39 20 59
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 34 35 69
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 41 33 74
5 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 57 52 109
6 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 43 67 110
7 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 54 57 111
8 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 84 93 177
9 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 89 91 180
10 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 100 87 187
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 14 Benjamin Mohney '15
Devin Hansen '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 8 1 5 1 3 5 3 5 2 34 Bradley Brown '15
Joshua Moan '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 4 5 7 3 1 3 2 3 4 39 Bryce Scarfone '15 [1-4]
Ben Jassin '13 [5-10]
Alice Schreiber '16 [1-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 3 4 3 4 7 2 4 6 3 41 Seth Barrows '15
Morgan Engle '15
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 2 3 4 6 4 7 7 2 5 43 Michelle Thomas '13
Angela Skane '16
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 6 6 7 2 5 6 6 5 4 7 54 Joel Hurley '14
Ryan Clarke '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 4 5 6 6 8 5 4 6 7 6 57 Alex Steo '17
Karolina Dzieniszewski '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 9 9 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 84 Michael Long '14
Forrester White '15
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 8 10 8 10 7 10 9 9 9 9 89 Janelle Dargham '16
Kevin Kundiger '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 DNS 7 10 9 10 9 DNS DNS DNS DNS 100 Sarah Smith '16
Tekla Mayotte '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 2 1 2 4 1 3 1 1 1 17 Paul Perry '15
Candice Stewart '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 1 3 1 1 2 1 4 2 2 20 Giancarlo Falconi '16
Abigail Beauchamp '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 4 2 3 2 4 2 5 3 4 33 Bradford Cederberg '15
Heidi Carlson '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 3 4 5 35 Nicholas Odegard '16
Robert Turley '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 6 5 6 7 5 7 5 2 6 3 52 Daniel Moore '12
Matthew Martin '16
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 5 6 5 5 6 5 7 6 5 7 57 Joseph Geller '16
Trevor Johnson '16
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 8 7 6 67 Daniel Schulman '14
Ryan Johnson '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 8 9 8 8 8 9 8 9 10 10 87 Kevin Hendrickson '15
Manaf Alwaheeb '15
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 10 10 9 10 9 8 9 10 8 8 91 John Sutton '16
Travis White '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 9 8 10 9 DNF DNS 10 7 9 9 93 Calvin Troutt '15
Benjamin Whitehead '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1122334455
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons221110109988
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles3344556677
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators443322111010
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State5566778899
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins6655443322
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes778899101011
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College8877665544
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1991010112233
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2101099887766

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears11111212131314141515
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons12121111202019191818
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles13131414151516161717
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators14141313121211112020
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State15151616171718181919
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins16161515141413131212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes17171818191920201111
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College18181717161615151414
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 119192020111112121313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 220201919181817171616

Conditions — 03/09/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1022.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From ENE (63°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1022.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.53 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →