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CNU CJ Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 29 27 56
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 44 36 80
3 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 57 47 104
4 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 58 48 106
5 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 28 90 118
6 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 97 58 155
7 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 79 88 167
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 2 3 2 2 4 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 2 3 28 Nicholas Price '17
Rose Peterson '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 1 1 3 1 2 2 2 1 4 2 2 1 4 29 Benjaim Helfand '16
Shuqi Dong '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 4 2 3 1 2 3 5 4 4 2 4 3 5 2 44 Casey Brown '16
Erin Hub '16
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 5 4 4 4 3 5 4 3 6 5 1 4 3 6 57 Charlie Hinkley '14 [1-7]
Bill Parker '14 [8-14]
Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14 [1-7]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 5 5 5 6 4 3 7 3 3 5 6 4 1 58 Annie Eckmann '14 [1-7]
Andrew Hall '17 [8-14]
Andrew Hall '17 [1-7]
Laura Kilgore '17 [8-14]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 79 Andrew Werner '14
Bennett Alvaro '16
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 97 Jackson Dunitz '16
Matthew Locastro '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 1 1 2 4 3 1 1 1 5 1 1 2 1 27 Madison Oleson '17
Gabriella Marki '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 2 5 1 1 OCS 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 36 Cody Stansky '16 [1-14]
Kurt Gavel '16 [1-7]
Michael Imbesi '17 [8-14]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 4 4 4 3 5 1 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 47 Rachel Pinkham '16
Logan George '17
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 3 3 4 3 2 5 5 5 1 5 3 3 5 48 Grace Bluefeld '15
Kaitlin Welker '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 DNF 2 5 2 4 4 4 3 4 4 5 5 3 58 Joseph Crouse '16
Maximillian Korzan '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 5 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 88 Bennett Brainard '17
Malcolm Steinberg '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 90 Benjamin Hayes '16 [1-14]
Grace Bule '16 [1-7]
Christopher Duggan '15 [8-14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111111111111111111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials222222212121212121212
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps444444414141414141414
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers333333313131313131313
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies777777717171717171717
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers666666616161616161616
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe555555515151515151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111111111111111111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials121212121212122222222
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps141414141414144444444
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers131313131313133333333
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies171717171717177777777
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers161616161616166666666
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe151515151515155555555

Conditions — 03/29/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 96%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.4 kn
Gusts to 31.7 kn
From SSE (168°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity96% Pressure1013.1 hPa Rain0.89 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →