New England Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 35 14 49
2 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 35 33 68
3 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 61 21 82
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 37 49 86
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 66 54 120
6 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 28 93 MRP 121 MRP
7 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 46 77 123
8 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 68 55 123
9 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 80 80 160
10 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 92 99 191
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 1 1 5 5 7 2 3 1 2 28 Colby Vickerson '17 [1-10]
Kristina Schneider '16 [1-8]
Cassandra Layman '17 [9-10]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 4 4 3 3 8 1 4 3 3 35 Nicholas Dragone '14
Annalisa Baratta '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 3 5 3 2 4 1 7 2 4 4 35 Michael Rottier '15
Peter Rodriguez '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 2 2 1 2 4 3 7 5 7 37 Zach Shapiro '15
Claire Lockard '18
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 6 3 9 4 9 2 9 1 2 1 46 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15 [1-10]
Lauren Javaly '15 [1-8]
Kevin Winnie '16 [9-10]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 5 6 RDG 10 1 3 4 6 9 10 61 Edward Moan '14 [1-10]
Helen Chyz '14 [1-4, 6-9]
Katlyn Flynn '15 [5, 10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 9 6 6 6 6 6 8 6 5 66 Emily Casella '17
Matthew Woodward '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 8 5 9 7 5 5 5 8 9 68 William Dykes '15
David Mazotas '16
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 9 7 8 7 8 9 8 DNF 7 6 80 John Zupkud '16
Andrea Thoen '16
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 10 10 7 8 10 10 10 9 10 8 92 Brian Reilly '16
Christopher Lewis '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 14 Sarah Fuller '16
Catherine Stavola '14
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 1 2 2 2 5 3 2 2 1 21 John Cappetta '16 [1-10]
Camille Cushman '16 [1-4, 6-8]
Hannah Kiesler '16 [5, 9-10]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 3 2 4 6 4 3 2 3 3 3 33 Jack Kerby-Miller '14
Terry Duncan '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 4 8 4 3 4 4 6 7 5 49 John Wehner '18 [1-8]
William Manning '18 [9-10]
Katherine Alfond '19 [1-8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 5 7 3 7 5 2 8 4 5 8 54 Timothy Forgione '16
Alexander Hunt '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 5 7 3 7 7 5 5 6 4 55 Emmet Todd '17
Sarah Martin '15
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 7 6 5 10 8 6 9 9 8 9 77 Earl Lin '15 [1-10]
Julian Dann '17 [1-8]
Lara Hetzel '17 [9-10]
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 8 9 9 8 6 9 7 7 DNS 6 80 Sean O'Keefe '17
Josh Mandelbaum '17
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 10 8 6 5 9 10 6 8 4 7 93 MRP Sarah Bouchie '16 [1-8]
Kristina Schneider '16 [9-10]
Christine Reighley '15 [1-10]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 9 DNF 10 9 DNF 8 DNS DNF 9 10 99 David Tampellini '17 [1-4, 7-10]
William Herlihy '15 [5-6]
Kristen Lahaise '17 [1-4, 7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1113335557
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons2224446668
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies8881010102224
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway3335557779
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers44466688810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers5557779991
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats9991113335
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies6668881010102
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers7779991113
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1010102224446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2224446667
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons3335557778
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies9991113334
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway4446668889
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers55577799910
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers6668881010101
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1010102224445
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies7779991112
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers8881010102223
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1113335556

Conditions — 04/05/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1005.8 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 28.0 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine4.8 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1005.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →