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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 8 20 28
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 20 8 28
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 25 16 41
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 24 29 53
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 15 44 59
6 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 42 25 67
7 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 42 26 68
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 31 40 71
9 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 34 37 71
10 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 45 43 88
11 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 45 53 98
12 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 52 49 101
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 1 1 1 3 2 8 John Roberts '17
Brenton Davis '17
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 4 7 1 1 15 John Reddaway '15 [1-5]
Chris Walton '16 [1-3]
Joshua Kim '17 [4-5]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 3 8 2 4 20 Nicole Hause '14
Amy Kubie '14
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 6 4 4 BKD 24 Jeffrey Pyles '14
Cameron Paul '16
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 4 7 3 6 5 25 Benton Morton '14
Andrew Edwards '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 2 5 11 7 31 Matthew Weber '15 [1-5]
Erica Trotter '17 [1-3]
Andrew Roberts '16 [4-5]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 7 5 11 5 6 34 Alexander Katsis '14 [1-5]
Grace Evans '17 [1-3]
Jennifer Yland '14 [4-5]
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 9 8 9 8 8 42 Jared Chrysostom '15 [1-3]
Robert Marshall '15 [4-5]
Austin Winkler '16 [1-3]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 12 10 10 7 3 42 Meredith Rutledge '16
Macara Oshida '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 8 12 2 12 11 45 Nichole Palen '14
Kristin Neill '16
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 11 9 6 10 9 45 Brent Deangelis '16 [1-5]
Morgan Firing '17 [1-3]
Jonathan Ashworth '17 [4-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 10 11 12 9 10 52 Patrick Kopiwoda '15 [1-5]
Joyce Benzi '16 [1-3]
Hannah Dill '14 [4-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 1 1 2 1 8 Sarah Mackey '16
Katie Dowling '16
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 6 2 3 3 2 16 David Rogers '15
Daniel Hemstreet '15
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 1 5 4 6 4 20 Hugh Forester-Bennett '13 [1-3]
Jeffery Kaisner '17 [4-5]
Emma Brooks '15 [1-3]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 4 4 8 4 5 25 Cali Mcgovern '14
Paige Gainey '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 2 8 2 8 6 26 Hammond Edwards '15 [1-3]
Scott Adams '17 [4-5]
Christopher Moe '17 [1-3]
Parker Singletary '15 [4-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 9 10 6 1 3 29 Cassie Todd '16 [1-5]
Kristina Boelcskevy '14 [1-3]
David Hoover '17 [4-5]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 11 3 5 7 11 37 Hans Lie-Nielsen '14 [1-5]
Jacob Dooris '17 [1-3]
John Wallace '17 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 6 7 12 10 40 Michael Stolorena '15 [1-5]
Emily Olive '17 [1-3]
Hayden Putre '17 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 12 9 10 5 7 43 Paulina Spencer '16
Jillian Tucker '15
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 7 12 9 8 44 Scott Claudon '16 [1-3]
Gins Holde '15 [4-5]
Gins Holde '15 [1-3]
Chris Walton '16 [4-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 7 11 11 11 9 49 Benjamin Murphy '15
Matthew Carnell '16
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 12 9 10 12 53 Sullivan Madewell '14 [1-3]
Edward Martin '16 [4-5]
Rachael Payton '15 [1-3]
Henry Risberg '16 [4-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11335
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars442212
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel9911111
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 122121210
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 233557
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils55779
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs1010886
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets66442
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack 1779911
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack 288664
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers121210108
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1111113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers22446
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars331111
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel101012122
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 11111119
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 244668
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils668810
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs99775
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets55331
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack 188101012
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack 277553
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1111997
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1212224
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Brent Deangelis '16 [1-5] Morgan Firing '17 [1-3]
Jonathan Ashworth '17 [4-5]
Tigers Sullivan Madewell '14 [1-3]
Edward Martin '16 [4-5]		 Rachael Payton '15 [1-3]
Henry Risberg '16 [4-5]
Clemson University Clemson University John Roberts '17 Brenton Davis '17
Tigers 1 Hugh Forester-Bennett '13 [1-3]
Jeffery Kaisner '17 [4-5]		 Emma Brooks '15 [1-3]
Clemson University Clemson University Meredith Rutledge '16 Macara Oshida '15
Tigers 2 Cali Mcgovern '14 Paige Gainey '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Nicole Hause '14 Amy Kubie '14
Cougars Sarah Mackey '16 Katie Dowling '16
Duke University Duke University Alexander Katsis '14 [1-5] Grace Evans '17 [1-3]
Jennifer Yland '14 [4-5]
Blue Devils Hans Lie-Nielsen '14 [1-5] Jacob Dooris '17 [1-3]
John Wallace '17 [4-5]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology John Reddaway '15 [1-5] Chris Walton '16 [1-3]
Joshua Kim '17 [4-5]
Yellow Jackets Scott Claudon '16 [1-3]
Gins Holde '15 [4-5]		 Gins Holde '15 [1-3]
Chris Walton '16 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Benton Morton '14 Andrew Edwards '18
Wolfpack 1 David Rogers '15 Daniel Hemstreet '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Nichole Palen '14 Kristin Neill '16
Wolfpack 2 Paulina Spencer '16 Jillian Tucker '15
The Citadel The Citadel Jared Chrysostom '15 [1-3]
Robert Marshall '15 [4-5]		 Austin Winkler '16 [1-3]
Citadel Hammond Edwards '15 [1-3]
Scott Adams '17 [4-5]		 Christopher Moe '17 [1-3]
Parker Singletary '15 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Matthew Weber '15 [1-5] Erica Trotter '17 [1-3]
Andrew Roberts '16 [4-5]
Bulldogs Michael Stolorena '15 [1-5] Emily Olive '17 [1-3]
Hayden Putre '17 [4-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Jeffrey Pyles '14 Cameron Paul '16
Seahawks Cassie Todd '16 [1-5] Kristina Boelcskevy '14 [1-3]
David Hoover '17 [4-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Patrick Kopiwoda '15 [1-5] Joyce Benzi '16 [1-3]
Hannah Dill '14 [4-5]
Volunteers Benjamin Murphy '15 Matthew Carnell '16

Conditions — 03/01/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1025.8 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From ESE (120°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1025.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →