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Savin Hill Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 54
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 133
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 160
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 186
5 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 218
6 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 239
7 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 274
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles A 3 1 2 2 3 1 1 8 1 1 1 1 25 Marcos Darcy '16 [1-12]
Kristen Mabie '17 [1-7]
Madeleine Loosbrock '17 [8-12]
Boston College Boston College Eagles B 1 2 1 1 5 2 4 1 3 2 2 5 29 Evan Woodford '14 [1-12]
Savanna Brown '16 [1-4, 8-12]
Hailey Ullmann '17 [5-7]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 2 10 6 5 2 5 5 7 2 4 3 7 58 Genevieve Marquardt '15
Stephanie Clancy '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 4 8 5 3 4 6 DNF 2 7 5 7 2 68 David Mende '17 [1-12]
Nomin-Erdene Jagdagdorj '17 [1-7]
Daniel Leichus '16 [8-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 11 4 3 4 1 8 2 4 6 6 9 11 69 Karl Ryder '16
Matthew Charpentier '11
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 6 3 13 9 6 4 3 10 4 7 6 4 75 Matthew Miranda '17
Megan Vito '15
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 8 7 10 14 7 3 6 6 10 3 OCS 3 92 Adam Brodheim '16
Victor Kamenker '17
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats A 9 5 4 7 11 10 7 11 9 11 5 14 103 Christopher Voorman '14
Alexa Giovanis '17
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders A 10 6 7 6 10 11 13 3 8 13 OCS 8 110 Robert Bueti '15
Joe Dalton '15
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats B 5 12 14 13 8 7 8 13 11 10 8 6 115 Erin Meltzer '14
Heather Ireland '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 7 11 9 10 9 9 9 12 5 12 11 13 117 Timothy Forgione '16
Alexander Hunt '16
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders B 12 14 8 12 12 13 11 5 14 9 10 9 129 Benjamin Ritter '16
Sara Newstein '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs B 13 13 11 11 14 14 12 9 12 8 4 12 133 Kelsey Delosh '17
Phoung Pham '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs A 14 9 12 8 13 12 10 14 13 14 12 10 141 Kelsey Martins '16
Emily Doiron '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111111111111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson222222222222
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders444444444444
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats555555555555
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers666666666666
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks777777777777
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles999999999999
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson101010101010101010101010
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders121212121212121212121212
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats131313131313131313131313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers141414141414141414141414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks151515151515151515151515
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs161616161616161616161616

Conditions — 04/12/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1020.6 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From W (269°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1020.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston College: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →