Hawkeye Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 32 12 44
2 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 31 17 48
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 25 34 59
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 24 35 59
5 Washington University Washington University Bears 18 43 61
6 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 50 32 82
7 Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 51 54 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Washington University Washington University Bears 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 DNF 18 Nathan Ross '18 [1-8]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Ying-Chiang Lee '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 4 3 2 4 1 4 2 4 24 Matthew Declercq '17
Christian Mcalvey '18
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 4 4 3 2 5 3 1 25 Dj Litts '18
Benjamin Jepsen '17
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 2 6 2 5 3 4 DSQ 31 Najwa Jumali '16
Eric Wolf '18
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 5 6 3 5 4 2 5 2 32 Isak Peterson '15
Hannah Girard '18
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 7 7 7 6 7 7 6 3 50 Greg Jenson '16 [1-8]
Beatrice Rodrigues '18 [1-6]
Alex Bartlett '16 [7-8]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 6 5 5 7 6 6 DNS DNS 51 Stefan Peterson '19
Christopher Owen '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 12 Hannah Noll '15 [1-6]
Andre Deriaz '18 [7-8]
Brittni Begale '16 [1-6]
Zachary Lisko '19 [7-8]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 3 1 2 2 5 1 2 1 17 Brian Ritter '17 [1-6]
Jonathan Ellefsen '16 [7-8]
Benjamin Foster '18 [1-6]
Brian Ritter '17 [7-8]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 5 3 4 4 3 6 4 3 32 Eric Hansen '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Maximilian Franze-Soeln '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Brianna Didriksen '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Katelin Mohr '18 [3-4]
Eric Hansen '17 [7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 4 3 5 7 4 5 5 34 Zach Nerod '17
Nicholas Lipinski '17
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 4 5 6 3 2 3 6 6 35 Ava Karaitis '16
Chelsea Bohn '16
Washington University Washington University Bears 6 6 7 DNF 4 5 3 4 43 Arvind Balasundaram '17 [1-8]
Sara Cosimo '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Mcmillan '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 7 7 5 6 6 7 DNS DNS 54 Jackson Braatz '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Conrad Brendel '15 [3]
Noah Carter '17 [4]
Noah Carter '17 [1-3, 5-8]
Conrad Brendel '15 [4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers11223344
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes44556677
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones22334455
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines55667711
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans33445566
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers66771122
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears77112233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers11223344
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes44556677
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones22334455
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines55667711
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans33445566
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers66771122
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears77112233
School / Team SkipperCrew
Indiana University Indiana University Najwa Jumali '16 Eric Wolf '18
Hoosiers Brian Ritter '17 [1-6]
Jonathan Ellefsen '16 [7-8]
Benjamin Foster '18 [1-6]
Brian Ritter '17 [7-8]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Stefan Peterson '19 Christopher Owen '16
Cyclones Jackson Braatz '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Conrad Brendel '15 [3]
Noah Carter '17 [4]
Noah Carter '17 [1-3, 5-8]
Conrad Brendel '15 [4]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Matthew Declercq '17 Christian Mcalvey '18
Spartans Ava Karaitis '16 Chelsea Bohn '16
University of Iowa University of Iowa Greg Jenson '16 [1-8] Beatrice Rodrigues '18 [1-6]
Alex Bartlett '16 [7-8]
Hawkeyes Eric Hansen '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Maximilian Franze-Soeln '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Brianna Didriksen '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Katelin Mohr '18 [3-4]
Eric Hansen '17 [7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Dj Litts '18 Benjamin Jepsen '17
Wolverines Zach Nerod '17 Nicholas Lipinski '17
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Isak Peterson '15 Hannah Girard '18
Panthers Hannah Noll '15 [1-6]
Andre Deriaz '18 [7-8]
Brittni Begale '16 [1-6]
Zachary Lisko '19 [7-8]
Washington University Washington University Nathan Ross '18 [1-8] No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Ying-Chiang Lee '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Bears Arvind Balasundaram '17 [1-8] Sara Cosimo '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Mcmillan '18 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 03/28/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1026.7 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 26°F
Feels like 29°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SE (143°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1026.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn · SW 17 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Iowa: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.52 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Iowa by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Iowa, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →