New England Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 17 30
2 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 26 15 41
3 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 17 26 43
4 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 19 25 44
5 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 17 29 46
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 37 16 53
7 Providence College Providence College Friars 19 42 61
8 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 40 26 66
9 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 43 41 84
10 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 44 40 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 3 2 4 2 2 13 Terry Duncan '15 [1-5]
Kevin Tsai '17 [1-2]
Sarah Scott '17 [3-5]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 1 1 5 4 6 17 Peter Sterflinger '17
Alexa Giovanis '17
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 3 1 3 8 17 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Lara Hetzel '17
Providence College Providence College Friars 4 6 3 1 5 19 Douglas Cassidy '18
Colleen Cassidy '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 5 2 6 1 19 Jennifer Lee '17
George Williams '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 4 6 7 3 26 William Dykes '15
Kendall Young '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 7 7 5 9 37 George Luber '17
Evan Sampou '17
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 10 8 10 8 4 40 John Zupkus '16
Alison Siegmann '18
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 7 9 8 9 10 43 Benjamin Sturmer '18
Huxley Conner '19
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 8 10 9 10 7 44 Brian Reilly '16
Kristen Lahaise '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 2 3 2 4 15 Emmet Todd '17
Sarah Martin '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 1 6 7 1 16 Jeffrey Adam '18
Sergio Gratta '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 6 2 4 3 17 Jade Forsberg '17 [1-2]
Ben Brown '18 [3-5]
Olivia Tubio '18 [1-2]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 DSQ 1 3 5 25 Sarah Fuller '16 [1-5]
Timothy Donahoe '15 [1-2]
Melissa Conway '16 [3-5]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 3 5 8 8 2 26 Thomas Pluchino '18
Amanda Balbi '17
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 7 3 4 5 7 26 Benjamin Eley '18
William Whelan '18
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 6 7 7 1 8 29 Nathaniel Barton '18
Abe Kipnis '18
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 10 4 10 10 6 40 Colby Jennings '15
Noelle Kelly '17
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 8 8 5 9 DNS 41 Steven Bell '16
Alison Mitchell '16
Providence College Providence College Friars 9 9 9 6 9 42 Maxwell Seferian '18
Brian Cain '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies77991
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats11335
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners22446
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33557
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers44668
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats8810102
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars55779
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers668810
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards99113
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1010224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies8810102
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats22446
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners33557
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers44668
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55779
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats99113
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars668810
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers77991
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1010224
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals11335

Conditions — 04/11/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1009.5 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.4 kn
avg  ·  max 15.3 kn
Gusts to 36.5 kn
From WNW (287°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1009.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 16 kn · W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →