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OCC Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 12 37 49
2 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 35 14 49
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 32 27 59
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 43 30 73
5 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 43 48 91
6 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 48 45 93
7 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 55 54 109
8 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 68 77 145
9 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 72 74 146
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 12 Griffin Orr '15
Dante Iozzo '16
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 7 5 1 5 3 3 5 2 1 32 Anders Hudson '17
Julia Davis '16
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 6 2 4 2 4 5 3 5 4 35 Domenic Re '15 [1-9]
Alex Heid '15 [1-6]
Elisabeth Day '18 [7-9]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 3 9 2 3 7 6 4 3 6 43 Adam Devita '18
Luke Pelessone '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 6 9 7 5 2 2 4 3 43 Joseph Egan '18
Alexia Nefeli Tragakes '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 4 4 5 4 6 7 6 7 5 48 Andrew Bobbitt '18
Dana Harriman '18
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 3 8 6 2 4 DNS DNS DNS 55 Mitchell Nunn '18
Zachary Rose '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 9 8 6 8 8 9 7 6 7 68 Kevin Mccandless '15
Alberto Rivera '16
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 8 7 7 9 9 8 8 8 8 72 Evan Shone '17 [1-9]
Juliana Farina '16 [1-4, 9]
Andrea Bannon '16 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 3 14 David Alldian '17
Julianna Lee '17
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 5 5 3 3 2 2 3 1 27 Amanda Attardi '17
Kaitlyn Reilly '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 2 3 4 2 3 6 5 4 30 Caroline Garth '17
Audrey Harnagel '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 6 3 4 2 5 6 5 4 2 37 Rory Mess '16
Emily Hann '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 7 4 6 7 7 4 1 2 7 45 Kevin Johnson '18
Matthew Locastro '16
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 4 6 2 5 4 5 7 DNS 5 48 Michael Fagundo '18
Anna Quincy '15
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 7 7 6 6 7 4 6 6 54 Alexandra Stapienski '16
Alina Robinson '17
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 74 Martha Diezemann '18 [1-6]
Calyn O'Connell '17 [7-9]
Tyler Roberts '18 [1-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 9 9 9 9 8 8 9 7 9 77 Dimitri Skambas '15
Claire Michaud '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls556677889
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions223344556
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens667788991
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps778899112
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings334455667
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers889911223
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange445566778
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats991122334

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls141415151616171718
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains101011111212131314
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions111112121313141415
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens151516161717181810
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps161617171818101011
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings121213131414151516
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers171718181010111112
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange131314141515161617
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats181810101111121213

Conditions — 04/11/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1016.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ocean County: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ocean County by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Ocean County).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →