Old South Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 12 21
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 12 23 35
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 21 15 36
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 20 24 44
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 28 16 44
6 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 36 36 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 1 1 1 1 1 9 Michael Sanandajian '18
Sarah Smith '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 2 2 2 2 3 12 Peter Hidley '17
Kelsy Waack '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 3 5 4 3 2 20 James Robertson '18
Caroline Eberhardt '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 4 3 3 4 5 21 Stuart Wallace '18 [1-4]
Yash Gore '16 [5-6]
Stuart Wallace '18 [1-2]
Yash Gore '16 [3-4]
Keenan Nicholson '18 [5-6]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 5 5 4 5 5 4 28 Benjamin Anderson '18
Gretchen Gutierrez '18
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 6 6 6 6 6 6 36 Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-6]
Kirsten Failing '17 [1-2]
Rachael Payton '15 [3-4]
Edward Martin '16 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 1 2 2 1 2 12 Kameron Boike '18
Paul Grisko '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 2 3 1 4 4 15 Jack Sparkman '19 [1-6]
Norris Nicholson '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaitlyn Harysch '16 [3-4]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 4 1 3 5 1 16 Jonathan Rudich '18
Tricia Wojtisek '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 3 3 4 5 3 5 23 Matthew Martin '16
Bailey Flynn '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 5 5 4 2 3 24 Elijah Jones '18
Jillian Tucker '15
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 6 6 6 6 6 6 36 Grant Johnson '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kirsten Failing '17 [3-4]
Edward Martin '16 [1-2]
Matthew Preisser '18 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113355
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators551133
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets224466
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins335511
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack446622
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls662244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224466
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators662244
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets335511
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins446622
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack551133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls113355

Conditions — 02/21/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1025.9 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.6 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From SE (138°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1025.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.33 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →