Buckeye Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Fighting Gobblers 11 10 21
2 Miami University Miami University RedHawks 32 20 52
3 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 37 20 57
4 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 36 26 62
5 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 35 29 64
6 Denison University Denison University Big Red 29 58 87
7 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 42 47 89
8 Ohio State University Ohio State University THE Ohio State Univ. 39 53 92
9 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 59 35 94
10 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 32 74 106
11 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 71 46 117
12 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 69 60 129
13 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 61 69 130
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Fighting Gobblers 1 1 1 1 5 2 11 Nicholas Brady '19
Ashley Black '17
Denison University Denison University Big Red 4 2 6 3 6 8 29 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Hanora Lucey '19
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 7 4 7 2 2 10 32 Rachel Rantanen '19
Kasey Carrick '19
Miami University Miami University RedHawks RDG 6 9 6 1 5 32 Max Burson '16
Bennett Kellogg '18
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 5 5 7 7 9 35 Ryan Mabie '16
Alexandra Brown '17
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 9 3 2 4 12 6 36 Nicholas Pardini '16
Eric Merrell '16
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 9 3 8 10 4 37 Luke Gossman '16
Delaney Imbler '17
Ohio State University Ohio State University THE Ohio State Univ. DNS 10 4 5 3 3 39 William Lewis '17
Stacey Nash '17
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 5 7 10 9 4 7 42 Simon Varga '17
Sam Robbins '18
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers DNS DNS 11 11 8 1 59 Ian Coyne '19
Matthew Art '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 6 8 13 12 11 11 61 Peter Smith '16
No Show
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats DNS DNS 8 10 9 DNS 69 Andrew Atkins '19
Alyssa Das '16
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 8 11 12 13 13 DNS 71 Ian Pope '19
Hazel Foster '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Fighting Gobblers 2 1 2 1 1 3 10 Preston Senior '19
Erica Vandeveer '17
Miami University Miami University RedHawks 1 4 9 2 3 1 20 Madison Eger '16
Brittany Nordhaus '17
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 8 3 1 3 2 RDG 20 Drew Blackburn '17 [1-4]
Colin Mackay '17 [5-6]
Carrington Gelardi '18 [1-2]
Evon Deprey '17 [3-4]
Garrett Altenberger '18 [5-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 3 5 3 8 5 2 26 Elliot Greenwald '16
Abigail Feikes '16
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 4 2 4 7 7 5 29 Austin Lee '17 [1-6]
No Show [1-3]
Mary Simon '18 [4-6]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 10 6 7 4 4 4 35 Chandler Hill '19
Nathan Brott '18
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 7 8 5 10 9 7 46 Riley Sorber '19
Hunter Bronkema '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 9 9 6 9 8 6 47 Aaron Comen '18
Anish Zute '18
Ohio State University Ohio State University THE Ohio State Univ. 6 7 DNF 6 10 10 53 Luke Lecoche '18 [1-4]
Molly Disbrow '18 [5-6]
Andrew Lenzo '16 [1-4]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 5 12 10 11 11 9 58 William Griswold '19 [1-6]
Rachel Budzilek '18 [1-2]
Emma Kopp '18 [3-6]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 12 11 11 12 6 8 60 Rob Berry '16
Austin Erickson '17
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls DNS DNS 8 5 DNS DNS 69 John Porterfield '17
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 11 10 12 13 DNS DNS 74 Peter Atkins '19 [1-6]
Rebecca Meyer '19 [1-4]
Kasey Carrick '19 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls171719192121
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red446688
Miami UniversityMiami University RedHawks23237799
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans66881010
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats77991717
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats9917171919
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University THE Ohio State Univ.8810106969
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange101069692020
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers696920202222
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns1919212144
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets202022222323
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Fighting Gobblers21214466
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos2222232377

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls696920202222
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red23237799
Miami UniversityMiami University RedHawks66881010
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans77991717
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats8810106969
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats101069692020
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University THE Ohio State Univ.9917171919
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange171719192121
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1919212144
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns202022222323
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets21214466
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Fighting Gobblers2222232377
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos446688
School / Team SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University Margot Sherman Jollis '18 Hanora Lucey '19
Big Red William Griswold '19 [1-6] Rachel Budzilek '18 [1-2]
Emma Kopp '18 [3-6]
Miami University Miami University Max Burson '16 Bennett Kellogg '18
RedHawks Madison Eger '16 Brittany Nordhaus '17
Michigan State University Michigan State University Rachel Rantanen '19 Kasey Carrick '19
Spartans Peter Atkins '19 [1-6] Rebecca Meyer '19 [1-4]
Kasey Carrick '19 [5-6]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Ian Pope '19 Hazel Foster '16
Wildcats Riley Sorber '19 Hunter Bronkema '18
Ohio State University Ohio State University William Lewis '17 Stacey Nash '17
THE Ohio State Univ. Luke Lecoche '18 [1-4]
Molly Disbrow '18 [5-6]
Andrew Lenzo '16 [1-4]
Ohio University Ohio University Andrew Atkins '19 Alyssa Das '16
Bobcats Rob Berry '16 Austin Erickson '17
Syracuse University Syracuse University Nicholas Pardini '16 Eric Merrell '16
Orange Elliot Greenwald '16 Abigail Feikes '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Peter Smith '16 No Show
Bulls John Porterfield '17
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Ian Coyne '19 Matthew Art '18
Volunteers Chandler Hill '19 Nathan Brott '18
University of Texas University of Texas Simon Varga '17 Sam Robbins '18
Longhorns Aaron Comen '18 Anish Zute '18
University of Toledo University of Toledo Luke Gossman '16 Delaney Imbler '17
Rockets Drew Blackburn '17 [1-4]
Colin Mackay '17 [5-6]
Carrington Gelardi '18 [1-2]
Evon Deprey '17 [3-4]
Garrett Altenberger '18 [5-6]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Nicholas Brady '19 Ashley Black '17
Fighting Gobblers Preston Senior '19 Erica Vandeveer '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Ryan Mabie '16 Alexandra Brown '17
Broncos Austin Lee '17 [1-6] No Show [1-3]
Mary Simon '18 [4-6]

Conditions — 04/09/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌨️Slight snow
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

33°F
↑ 36°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 22°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.6 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 34.6 kn
From NW (326°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1021.1 hPa Snow0.22 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 15 kn · S 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.21)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.30
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.27 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.21 means a rating gap counts about 18% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →