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Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 24 27 51
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 28 41 69
3 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 39 69 108
4 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 36 81 117
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 76 55 131
6 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 108 54 162
7 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 59 104 163
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 48 124 172
9 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 111 67 178
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 111 73 184
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 107 91 198
12 Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 127 MRP 101 MRP 228 MRP
13 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 112 137 249
14 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 165 106 271
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 142 157 299
16 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 146 162 308
17 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 183 MRP 160 MRP 343 MRP
18 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 154 MRP 190 MRP 344 MRP
19 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 187 161 348
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 5 1 1 3 1 1 3 2 2 5 24 John Coakley '16
Paul Chyz '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 7 2 2 1 3 3 2 1 6 1 28 Harrison Vandervort '19
Bailey Clark '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 2 3 4 4 2 4 7 5 3 2 36 Nicolas Delfino '16
No Show
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 1 9 6 5 4 2 1 3 5 3 39 Ben Brough '19
Helen Payne '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 4 4 4 4 48 Christina Gasparich '19
Natalie Millstein '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 11 14 3 2 6 5 5 6 1 6 59 Hollis Barth '16
Hope Modugno '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 6 6 9 9 10 6 8 8 7 7 76 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Marianne Simpson '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 12 12 7 13 14 12 6 10 10 11 107 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Christopher Steefel '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 13 10 12 DSQ 8 8 10 11 8 8 108 Dylan Rinker '16
Rachel Hunter '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 8 11 11 14 15 9 16 9 9 9 111 Sarah Macpherson '18
Zoe Hessler '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 14 5 10 7 9 15 11 16 12 12 111 Liam Chaffey '19
James Kerman '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 4 15 8 11 11 10 14 13 13 13 112 Yan Rui Goheen '17
Robyn Gillum '18
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 10 7 13 8 13 11 12 7 16 10 127 MRP
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 15 13 14 10 17 14 13 12 17 17 142 Thomas Garcia '19 [1-10]
Michaela Perinova '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Grace Phillips '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 DNF 16 16 12 5 DNF 9 14 18 16 146 Thomas Niemisto '17
Catherine Kerman '19
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 9 8 17 15 12 13 15 17 14 14 154 MRP Mindy Chow '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brett Scott '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Olivia Hartford '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 17 18 18 17 16 17 17 15 15 15 165 Marina Lindsay '17
Alexander Daniele '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 16 17 15 16 18 16 18 18 11 18 183 MRP
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 18 19 19 18 19 18 19 19 19 19 187 Garrison Murphy '20 [1-5]
Andrew Kinton '17 [6-10]
Andrew Kinton '17 [1-5]
Garrison Murphy '20 [6-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 1 2 1 5 1 2 1 4 9 1 27 Peter Wong '18
Caroline Carney '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 7 8 1 5 5 3 3 1 2 41 Claire Hunt '19 [1-10]
Sarah Scoffone '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Robert Johnson '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 4 5 3 3 3 14 7 7 3 5 54 Kathryn Cornella '16
Belle Lemoine '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 5 8 5 6 10 7 4 5 2 3 55 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 3 4 9 12 7 4 2 10 10 6 67 Laura Roudebush '18 [1-10]
Georgia Potter '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Natalie Dao '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 2 3 4 9 8 3 9 9 13 9 69 Joseph Lausten '18
Haley Weber '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 7 1 7 10 6 8 6 13 11 4 73 Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19
Sophie Ellison '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 12 10 2 2 13 9 10 1 8 14 81 Brett Farrell '17
Hayley Chong '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 10 9 12 8 4 11 8 14 4 11 91 Natalie Hopper '19
Adriana Guetter '19
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 9 12 6 4 11 13 11 2 6 7 101 MRP
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 15 6 14 7 15 1 14 11 5 16 104 Mackenzie Freeman '18
Lisa Luciano '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 11 11 18 11 9 12 5 12 7 10 106 Sarah Wyman '17
No Show
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 8 16 10 18 12 10 13 6 16 15 124 Melissa Schem '18
No Show
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 14 14 16 16 2 6 16 15 19 19 137 David Luu '17
Lauren Liu '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 13 15 17 13 16 18 18 16 18 13 157 Cullen Quine '18 [1-10]
Nellie Ponarul '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Susan Bean '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 17 13 15 14 19 17 12 8 17 8 160 MRP
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 16 17 11 15 18 19 17 19 12 17 161 Sierra Apillanes '19
David Ball '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 18 18 13 17 17 15 19 18 15 12 162 Cassandra Isaacson '19
Dallas Butler '17
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 19 19 19 19 14 16 15 17 14 18 190 MRP No Show
Kalvyn Ngo '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils40404040404040404040
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 13333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 24444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4333333333333333333333333333333
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 3137137137137137137137137137137
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3271271271271271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4281281281281281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3129129129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4301301301301301301301301301301
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's34343434343434343434
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors56565656565656565656

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils40404040404040404040
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 13333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 24444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4333333333333333333333333333333
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 3137137137137137137137137137137
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3271271271271271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4281281281281281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3129129129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4301301301301301301301301301301
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's34343434343434343434
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors56565656565656565656
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Garrison Murphy '20 [1-5]
Andrew Kinton '17 [6-10]		 Andrew Kinton '17 [1-5]
Garrison Murphy '20 [6-10]
Sun Devils Sierra Apillanes '19 David Ball '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Helen Payne '19
Mustang 1 Joseph Lausten '18 Haley Weber '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Dylan Rinker '16 Rachel Hunter '19
Mustang 2 Kathryn Cornella '16 Belle Lemoine '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Chaffey '19 James Kerman '17
Mustang 3 Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19 Sophie Ellison '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Thomas Niemisto '17 Catherine Kerman '19
Mustang 4 Cassandra Isaacson '19 Dallas Butler '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Marianne Simpson '19
Bruins 1 Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Marina Lindsay '17 Alexander Daniele '18
Bruins 2 Sarah Wyman '17 No Show
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Sarah Macpherson '18 Zoe Hessler '18
Bruins 3 Laura Roudebush '18 [1-10] Georgia Potter '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Natalie Dao '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Thomas Garcia '19 [1-10] Michaela Perinova '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Grace Phillips '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruins 4 Cullen Quine '18 [1-10] Nellie Ponarul '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Susan Bean '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 No Show
Tritons 1 Brett Farrell '17 Hayley Chong '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 Christopher Steefel '18
Tritons 2 Natalie Hopper '19 Adriana Guetter '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Yan Rui Goheen '17 Robyn Gillum '18
Tritons 3 David Luu '17 Lauren Liu '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Harrison Vandervort '19 Bailey Clark '19
Gauchos Claire Hunt '19 [1-10] Sarah Scoffone '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Robert Johnson '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Southern California University of Southern California John Coakley '16 Paul Chyz '18
Trojans 1 Peter Wong '18 Caroline Carney '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Christina Gasparich '19 Natalie Millstein '18
Trojans 2 Melissa Schem '18 No Show
University of Southern California University of Southern California Hollis Barth '16 Hope Modugno '18
Trojans 3 Mackenzie Freeman '18 Lisa Luciano '18
Westmont College Westmont College Mindy Chow '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brett Scott '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Olivia Hartford '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Warriors No Show Kalvyn Ngo '17

Conditions — 01/23/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From NW (310°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine5.6 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1016.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →