MCSA Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 16 17 33
2 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 26 21 47
3 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 40 47 87
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 41 47 88
5 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Lady Panthers 54 36 90
6 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 62 53 115
7 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 53 70 123
8 Denison University Denison University Big Red 72 72 144
9 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 88 87 175
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 16 Laura Wefer '16
Jennifer Burke '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 1 4 5 1 2 2 7 1 2 26 Alison Kent '16
Cailin Oakes '18
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 4 2 1 6 6 3 5 4 4 40 Katherine O'Donnell '19
Hannah Givertz '18
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 4 6 7 2 4 3 4 3 5 3 41 Rachel Rantanen '19
Miranda Madden '19
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8 8 5 7 3 5 6 2 3 6 53 Katherine Schneeberger '17
Abby Kerschner '18
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Lady Panthers 6 5 3 4 5 4 7 6 7 7 54 Hannah Noll '15
Jordyn Noennig '17
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 3 8 6 7 8 RAF 4 8 5 62 Molly Disbrow '18
Emily Robinson '16
Denison University Denison University Big Red 7 7 6 8 OCS 7 5 8 6 8 72 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Emma Kopp '18
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 9 9 9 9 8 9 8 9 9 9 88 Delaney Imbler '17
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 17 Kate Klement '17
Katie Hall '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 2 4 6 1 1 2 1 1 1 21 Isabella Hamilton '17
Emily Johnson '16
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Lady Panthers 1 3 3 2 5 3 4 6 5 4 36 Autumn Morden '15
Susie Voltz '19
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 4 4 5 4 4 6 7 5 3 5 47 Alexandria Zimmerman '19
Meredith Mckeown '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 5 2 5 3 7 5 8 4 3 47 Susan Riley '17
Medina Krevans '16
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 6 6 8 3 6 4 3 3 7 7 53 Brittany Mosgo '17
Monica Julian '17
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8 7 6 7 7 5 6 7 8 9 70 Molly Lafave '19 [1-10]
Kelly Heiniger '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Helen Carey '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 4 6 8 72 Hanora Lucey '19 [1-10]
Rachel Budzilek '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Klaes '19 [3-4, 7-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 6 87 Margaret Hill '17
Deborah Dollard '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red10101818202022222424
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans17171919212123231010
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers21212323101018182020
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats18182020222224241717
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish22222424171719192121
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes19192121232310101818
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets20202222242417171919
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Lady Panthers24241717191921212323
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers23231010181820202222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red17171919212123231010
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans18182020222224241717
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers22222424171719192121
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats19192121232310101818
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish23231010181820202222
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes20202222242417171919
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets21212323101018182020
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Lady Panthers10101818202022222424
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers24241717191921212323

Conditions — 04/23/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1020.2 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From N (356°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1020.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Denison: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Denison by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Denison, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →