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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 18 18 36
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 20 16 36
3 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 22 15 37
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 17 42 59
5 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 32 30 62
6 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 43 19 62
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 49 32 81
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 46 52 98
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 47 52 99
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 63 63 126
11 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 61 MRP 77 MRP 138 MRP
12 Citadel Citadel Citadel 98 MRP 98 MRP 196 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 2 4 4 2 3 2 17 Darby Reddaway '19
Chris Walton '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 1 3 2 1 6 5 18 Marten Kendrick '15
Katherine Kwasniak '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 1 1 9 4 1 20 Tily Milburn '18
Maura Lonergan '19
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 2 3 3 2 7 22 Vincent Miao '18
Louis Garza '17
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 8 6 8 6 1 3 32 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Ian Christine '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 9 9 6 5 5 9 43 Cassie Todd '16
Taylor Wood '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 7 10 9 8 8 4 46 Allison Chenard '19
Emma Cronin '19
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 7 7 4 9 10 47 Brent Deangelis '16
Grace Freeman '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 DSQ 5 10 10 8 49 Mark Thompson '18
Melissa Mcbride '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 5 10 7 7 6 61 MRP Abbie Probst '19
Phillip Burkhardt '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 11 8 11 11 11 11 63 Timothy Dewitt '17
Alexander Weisel '19
Citadel Citadel Citadel DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 98 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 1 2 2 3 1 6 15 Elizabeth O'Connor '17
Julia Knorr '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 6 1 1 2 2 16 Jennifer Baylis '19
Clare Perry '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 2 3 3 2 4 4 18 Conner Killham '18
Hannah Gersch '19
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 1 4 5 3 3 19 Kailey Savacool '16
James Ahern '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 6 5 5 4 5 5 30 Mackey Leventis '19
Ashley Thess '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 4 7 6 7 1 32 Matthew Dockstader '17
Caroline Eberhardt '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 5 7 6 11 6 7 42 David Sutton '19 [1-6]
Andres Menendez '17 [1-2]
Martine Montgomery '19 [3-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 10 9 7 10 8 52 Edward Martin '16
Clare Sweeney '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 9 8 8 10 8 9 52 Erica Trotter '17 [1-6]
Jennifer Cahalan '19 [1-2]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [3-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 11 11 11 8 11 11 63 Jennifer Post '16
Andrea Funk '17
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 10 9 10 9 9 10 77 MRP Cameron Rylance '19
Andrew Hopkins '19
Citadel Citadel Citadel DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 98 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113355
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars335577
CitadelCitadel Citadel886644
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2212121010
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils44221212
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 199111111
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 210108866
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1557799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2664422
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77991111
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks1212101088
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks11111133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224466
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars446688
CitadelCitadel Citadel775533
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11111199
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils33111111
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 11010121222
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 2997755
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 166881010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2553311
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8810101212
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks11119977
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks12122244

Conditions — 03/19/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1011.8 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From W (264°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine3.3 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1011.8 hPa Rain0.20 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →