Old South Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 12 6 18
2 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 14 13 27
3 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 32 22 54
4 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 26 29 55
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 21 36 57
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 33 24 57
7 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 30 38 68
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 1 2 2 1 1 12 Peter Hidley '17
Victoria Caba '17
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 2 1 1 7 2 14 Aaron Burnett '19 [1-6]
Maya Kwasniewski '19 [1-4]
Sarah Elzawahry '19 [5-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 3 3 3 3 7 21 Conner Killham '18 [1-4]
Lauren Yapp '18 [5-6]
Hannah Gersch '19 [1-4]
Conner Killham '18 [5-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 5 4 5 2 6 26 Chad Murray '17 [1-6]
Heidi Garbade '17 [1-4]
Madelyn Wyner '18 [5-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 3 6 5 7 4 5 30 Brent Deangelis '16
Kirsten Failing '17
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 7 7 6 4 5 3 32 Ian Coyne '19
Matthew Art '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 4 7 6 6 4 33 Elijah Jones '18
Katherine Richardson '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Peter Steo '19
Lauri Niklason '16
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 2 3 2 2 2 13 Jasmine Dahlby '19
Katie Freeley '19
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 4 3 2 5 3 5 22 Chandler Hill '19
Nathan Brott '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 5 5 3 5 3 24 Jack Cummings '18
Hugh Barclay '20
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 6 4 4 7 4 4 29 Federico Pozas '18 [1-6]
John Schade '18 [1-4]
Madelyn Wyner '18 [5-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 7 6 6 6 6 36 David Sutton '19 [1-6]
Lauren Yapp '18 [1-2]
Katherine Kwasniak '19 [3-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 6 7 4 7 7 38 Edward Martin '16
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113355
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators661133
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets224466
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins335577
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack446611
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars557722
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers772244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224466
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators772244
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets335577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins446611
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack557722
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars661133
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers113355

Conditions — 02/13/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1024.8 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From NNW (337°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1024.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →