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2017 SailPack Oriental Intercollegiate

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 9 13 22
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 32 12 44
3 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 52 37 89
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 2 46 58 104
5 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 50 60 110
6 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 52 63 115
7 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 61 80 141
8 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 98 65 163
9 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 76 88 164
10 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 131 37 168
11 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 78 93 171
12 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 71 102 173
13 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 90 84 174
14 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 93 91 184
15 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 101 96 197
16 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 106 112 218
17 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 93 144 237
18 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 127 124 251
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21
Shaynah True '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 1 3 9 4 2 7 4 32 Peter Hidley '17
Victoria Caba '17
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 2 3 9 7 3 7 13 2 2 46 Christopher Chaplin '20
Ashley Thess '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 6 3 8 7 3 8 8 7 50 Madeline Delvescovo '20
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 5 6 5 4 10 3 10 9 52 William Sunkler '20
Bridgette Hindt '18
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 13 4 2 2 13 9 4 5 52 Rafael Melendez '17
Javier Roque '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 13 4 8 14 4 3 6 61 Maggie Royal '20
David Schnelle '18
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 15 8 11 5 8 10 6 8 71 Alex Myers '19
Sally Roberts '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 8 15 12 11 11 5 11 3 76 Jeremy Mccauley '20
Peter Sander '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 11 16 6 17 2 6 9 11 78 Jacob Stoner '19 [1-8]
Dana Harriman '18 [1-5, 7-8]
Umd Test '25 [6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 14 7 14 13 15 12 5 10 90 Kara Wheeler '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Carly Pedron '18 [3-4]
Victoria Newberry '20 [5-6]
Katherine Richardson '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Beata Eaton '20 [3-6]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 12 DNS 9 6 9 7 RDG DNS 93 Nathan Thompson '17 [1-8]
Ben Fosbaugh '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Lars Sobieski '19 [3-4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 16 5 16 10 5 14 14 13 93 Niall Shannon '20
Brandon Ellis '18
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 10 11 10 16 16 11 12 12 98 Patrick Firth '17 [1-4]
Nina Willms '20 [5-8]
Thomas Griffiths '18 [1-4]
Elizabeth Plaster '20 [5-8]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 4 10 17 12 6 16 17 DNF 101 Ann Burns Morrison '20
Grace Desena '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 7 14 15 14 12 15 13 16 106 Jennifer Cahalan '19 [1-2]
Alexander Weisel '19 [3-6]
Erica Trotter '17 [7-8]
Ross Oliver '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kate Maner '20 [3-4]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [7-8]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 17 12 18 15 18 18 15 14 127 Taylor Wood '18
Elizabeth Howard '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 18 17 13 18 17 17 16 15 131 Natalie Lovelace '20
Erica Vandeveer '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 12 Jack Gower '20
Paula Resto '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 13 Andre Guaragna '21
Anna Palmer '17
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 4 9 5 2 3 3 6 RDG 37 Mitchell Powell '20 [1-8]
Lauren Schaeffer '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Zoey Holden '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 5 4 3 5 8 4 3 5 37 Nicholas Price '17 [1-8]
Madelyn Dynes '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Danielle Ababa '20 [3-4]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 2 3 3 7 13 11 13 5 3 58 Jack Gonzales '18
Morgan Klenke '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 9 6 10 9 9 6 7 4 60 Frederick Piasecki '20 [1-8]
James Giebel '21 [1-4]
Haley Clemson '20 [5-8]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 6 10 12 6 4 8 10 7 63 Andrew Vernon '20
Eloise Lienert '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 10 15 4 10 6 10 4 6 65 Audrey Fulk '19 [1-4]
Emma Purinton '20 [5-8]
Hannah O'Neil '18 [1-4]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 7 13 11 10 7 14 10 80 Rachael Price '20
Michael Bick '20
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 12 8 8 12 14 11 8 84 Jacqueline Welles '17 [1-4]
Lucas Holde '20 [5-6]
Zack Morey '17 [7-8]
Adam Augustine '19 [1-4]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 7 5 15 4 15 16 13 13 88 Samantha Mislinski '19 [1-8]
Gaura Mudgal '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Bryce Sma '20 [3-4]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 12 13 6 7 14 15 9 15 91 Samuel Haksteen '17
Zachary Vance '19
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 15 8 16 16 7 11 8 12 93 Ryan Dorsey '20 [1-3, 5-8]
Madeline Mulligan '20 [4]
Madeline Mulligan '20 [1-3, 5, 7-8]
Umd Test '25 [4, 6]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 18 DNF 11 12 5 5 12 14 96 Shep Byles '18 [1-4]
Thompson Betts '20 [5-8]
Sultan Henson '17 [1-4]
Peter Gregory '17 [5-8]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 13 14 9 14 16 9 16 11 102 Kyle Drain '19
Grant Silverman '17
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 14 11 17 17 17 12 15 9 112 Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [3-4]
Alex Sullivan '18 [5-6]
Meredith Herbst '18 [1-2]
Alex Sullivan '18 [3-4]
Erica Trotter '17 [5-6]
Kate Maner '20 [7-8]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 16 16 14 15 13 17 17 16 124 Bradley Lewis '17 [1-8]
Harley Lowery '19 [1-2, 5-6]
James Ahern '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 17 17 18 18 18 18 DNS DNS 144 Henry Sanders '18
Elizabeth Cloherty '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11335577
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State22446688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs99111113131515
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets33557799
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 14466881010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 25577991111
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1010121214141616
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers1111131315151717
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina1212141416161818
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack668810101212
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed 114141616181822
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed 2151517171133
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves779911111313
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange88101012121414
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks13131515171711
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies161618182244
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717113355
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1818224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons22446688
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State33557799
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs1010121214141616
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4466881010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 15577991111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2668810101212
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1111131315151717
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers1212141416161818
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina13131515171711
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack779911111313
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed 1151517171133
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed 2161618182244
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves88101012121414
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange99111113131515
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks14141616181822
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1717113355
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818224466
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Madeline Delvescovo '20 Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Dragons Frederick Piasecki '20 [1-8] James Giebel '21 [1-4]
Haley Clemson '20 [5-8]
Florida State University Florida State University Rafael Melendez '17 Javier Roque '18
Florida State Mitchell Powell '20 [1-8] Lauren Schaeffer '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Zoey Holden '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Maggie Royal '20 David Schnelle '18
Yellow Jackets Rachael Price '20 Michael Bick '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Peter Hidley '17 Victoria Caba '17
Fins 1 Jack Gower '20 Paula Resto '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21 Shaynah True '19
Fins 2 Andre Guaragna '21 Anna Palmer '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Kara Wheeler '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Carly Pedron '18 [3-4]
Victoria Newberry '20 [5-6]		 Katherine Richardson '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Beata Eaton '20 [3-6]
Wolfpack Jacqueline Welles '17 [1-4]
Lucas Holde '20 [5-6]
Zack Morey '17 [7-8]		 Adam Augustine '19 [1-4]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Jeremy Mccauley '20 Peter Sander '17
Seawolves Samantha Mislinski '19 [1-8] Gaura Mudgal '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Bryce Sma '20 [3-4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Niall Shannon '20 Brandon Ellis '18
Orange Henry Sanders '18 Elizabeth Cloherty '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Jennifer Cahalan '19 [1-2]
Alexander Weisel '19 [3-6]
Erica Trotter '17 [7-8]		 Ross Oliver '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kate Maner '20 [3-4]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [7-8]
Georgia Bulldogs Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [3-4]
Alex Sullivan '18 [5-6]		 Meredith Herbst '18 [1-2]
Alex Sullivan '18 [3-4]
Erica Trotter '17 [5-6]
Kate Maner '20 [7-8]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Jacob Stoner '19 [1-8] Dana Harriman '18 [1-5, 7-8]
Umd Test '25 [6]
Terps Ryan Dorsey '20 [1-3, 5-8]
Madeline Mulligan '20 [4]		 Madeline Mulligan '20 [1-3, 5, 7-8]
Umd Test '25 [4, 6]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Nathan Thompson '17 [1-8] Ben Fosbaugh '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Lars Sobieski '19 [3-4]
Retrievers Samuel Haksteen '17 Zachary Vance '19
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Ann Burns Morrison '20 Grace Desena '19
North Carolina Shep Byles '18 [1-4]
Thompson Betts '20 [5-8]		 Sultan Henson '17 [1-4]
Peter Gregory '17 [5-8]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Taylor Wood '18 Elizabeth Howard '20
Seahawks Bradley Lewis '17 [1-8] Harley Lowery '19 [1-2, 5-6]
James Ahern '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Alex Myers '19 Sally Roberts '19
Coed 1 Kyle Drain '19 Grant Silverman '17
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Christopher Chaplin '20 Ashley Thess '19
Coed 2 Jack Gonzales '18 Morgan Klenke '19
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Natalie Lovelace '20 Erica Vandeveer '17
Hokies Nicholas Price '17 [1-8] Madelyn Dynes '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Danielle Ababa '20 [3-4]
Washington College Washington College William Sunkler '20 Bridgette Hindt '18
Shoremen Andrew Vernon '20 Eloise Lienert '20
William and Mary William and Mary Patrick Firth '17 [1-4]
Nina Willms '20 [5-8]		 Thomas Griffiths '18 [1-4]
Elizabeth Plaster '20 [5-8]
Tribe Audrey Fulk '19 [1-4]
Emma Purinton '20 [5-8]		 Hannah O'Neil '18 [1-4]

Conditions — 04/01/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From NW (315°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1013.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn* · N 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at North Carolina State: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North Carolina State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at North Carolina State).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →