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Freshman Icebreaker

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 21 40 61
2 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 16 46 62
3 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 38 24 62
4 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 31 53 84
5 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 55 35 90
6 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 62 52 114
7 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 72 56 128
8 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 75 62 137
9 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 74 84 158
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 16 Christian Cyrul '20
Kata Lamb '20
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 4 1 3 2 1 2 BYE 1 3 2 21 Austin Haag '20
Moira Mrocca '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 1 3 2 4 5 4 3 4 1 4 31 Will Neubauer '20
Sarah Silvestri '19
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 3 4 4 3 6 7 2 2 4 3 38 Bobby Sessions '20 [1-10]
Sydney Eger '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Murphy Curran '20 [5-6]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 5 5 7 6 3 3 7 9 5 5 55 Jacob Weesies '20
Sam Colvin '20
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 8 8 5 7 4 5 4 7 8 6 62 Joe Cinal '20
Nina Mcalvey '20
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 6 7 6 9 7 9 6 8 6 8 72 Kathryn Powell '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Christian Green '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Abigail Parsons '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ryan Bradley '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes DNS 9 9 5 9 8 5 5 7 7 74 Christopher Weller '20 [1-10]
Yelena Ashrapova '19 [1-5]
Becca Fuss '20 [6-10]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 7 6 8 8 8 6 8 6 9 9 75 Casey Mcvoy '20 [1-9]
April Bonkowski '18 [10]
Kara Applegate '20 [1-9]
Logan Troester '20 [10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 2 1 2 3 4 6 1 1 2 24 Lindsey Clark '20 [1-10]
Karaline Black '20 [1-4]
Frederick Hinkley '20 [5-6]
Frank Mazur '20 [7-8]
Murphy Curran '20 [9-10]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 3 3 5 5 1 3 4 5 3 3 35 Joseph Kurta '20 [1-10]
Marc Green '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Delaney Hope '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 1 4 7 4 2 9 9 2 1 40 Hannah Thayer '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ambika Agrawal '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Claire Foley '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
James Clarke '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 4 5 2 1 9 6 5 3 6 5 46 Leah Peluchiwski '20
Ryan Mohler '20
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 7 6 3 6 2 1 7 8 4 8 52 Dylan Sabo '19
Jacob Pledger '18
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 5 8 7 3 7 8 1 2 8 4 53 Kyle Doyle '20 [1-10]
Axel Steinmetz '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lily Sylvester '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 6 4 9 9 5 5 2 4 5 7 56 James Kennedy '20 [1-2, 5-10]
Luke Chval '20 [3-4]
Sierra Zielinski '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Christopher Metzger '20 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 8 7 8 4 6 7 3 6 7 6 62 Joshua Spano '21
Matthew Schutz '20
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes DNS DNF 6 8 8 9 8 7 9 9 84 Noah Porschart '18 [1-4]
Noah Brush '19 [5-10]
Garrett Hall '22 [1-5]
Nicholas Allen '19 [6-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers1133557799
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen2244668811
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles3355779922
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 15577992244
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 26688113355
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 17799224466
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 28811335577
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes4466881133
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos9922446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers2244668811
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen3355779922
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles4466881133
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 16688113355
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 27799224466
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 18811335577
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 29922446688
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes5577992244
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Jacob Weesies '20 Sam Colvin '20
Lakers Joseph Kurta '20 [1-10] Marc Green '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Delaney Hope '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Hope College Hope College Joe Cinal '20 Nina Mcalvey '20
Flying Dutchmen Dylan Sabo '19 Jacob Pledger '18
Marquette University Marquette University Bobby Sessions '20 [1-10] Sydney Eger '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Murphy Curran '20 [5-6]
Golden Eagles Lindsey Clark '20 [1-10] Karaline Black '20 [1-4]
Frederick Hinkley '20 [5-6]
Frank Mazur '20 [7-8]
Murphy Curran '20 [9-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Christopher Weller '20 [1-10] Yelena Ashrapova '19 [1-5]
Becca Fuss '20 [6-10]
Buckeyes Noah Porschart '18 [1-4]
Noah Brush '19 [5-10]		 Garrett Hall '22 [1-5]
Nicholas Allen '19 [6-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Austin Haag '20 Moira Mrocca '19
Wolverines 1 Hannah Thayer '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ambika Agrawal '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Claire Foley '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
James Clarke '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Will Neubauer '20 Sarah Silvestri '19
Wolverines 2 Kyle Doyle '20 [1-10] Axel Steinmetz '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lily Sylvester '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Christian Cyrul '20 Kata Lamb '20
Fighting Irish 1 Leah Peluchiwski '20 Ryan Mohler '20
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Kathryn Powell '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Christian Green '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Abigail Parsons '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ryan Bradley '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Fighting Irish 2 James Kennedy '20 [1-2, 5-10]
Luke Chval '20 [3-4]		 Sierra Zielinski '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Christopher Metzger '20 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Casey Mcvoy '20 [1-9]
April Bonkowski '18 [10]		 Kara Applegate '20 [1-9]
Logan Troester '20 [10]
Broncos Joshua Spano '21 Matthew Schutz '20

Conditions — 03/25/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1017.3 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 30.1 kn
From E (90°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.9 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1017.3 hPa Rain0.29 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn · S 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Notre Dame: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.25
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Notre Dame by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Notre Dame, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →