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Gorge Invite & Alumni Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 40 20 60
2 Huskies 5 Huskies 5 Huskies 5 25 53 78
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 48 30 78
4 Huskies 3 Huskies 3 Huskies 3 38 67 105
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 41 65 106
6 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 51 62 113
7 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 65 71 136
8 Huskies 4 Huskies 4 Huskies 4 92 53 145
9 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 97 55 152
10 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 95 64 159
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 91 71 162
12 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 72 91 163
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 99 114 213
14 Aggies 1 Aggies 1 Aggies 1 100 130 230
15 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 128 112 240
16 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 120 131 251
17 Aggies 3 Aggies 3 Aggies 3 115 146 261
18 Ducks 1 Ducks 1 Ducks 1 146 123 269
19 Ducks 2 Ducks 2 Ducks 2 144 130 274
20 Aggies 2 Aggies 2 Aggies 2 132 167 299
21 Aggies 4 Aggies 4 Aggies 4 150 172 322
22 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 4 172 172 344
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Huskies 5 Huskies 5 Huskies 5 7 1 2 7 1 1 4 2 25
Huskies 3 Huskies 3 Huskies 3 4 8 1 1 11 4 8 1 38
Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 2 2 19 2 2 3 6 4 40
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 1 4 12 5 3 5 5 6 41 Paul Foley '15
Camille Ottaway '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 11 3 15 3 8 2 3 3 48 Casey Pruitt '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 5 14 3 11 5 6 2 5 51 Patrick (Drew) Ehlers '19
Natalie Shaw '20
Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 12 7 4 12 4 10 1 15 65
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 13 9 5 6 7 13 11 8 72
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 11 6 9 13 14 16 16 91 Ezekiel Ward '20
Hayley Rawden '18
Huskies 4 Huskies 4 Huskies 4 10 6 13 DNS 14 8 9 9 92
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 8 10 14 17 10 7 17 12 95
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 15 5 20 10 9 11 13 14 97
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 13 10 DNS 15 15 7 13 99 Ryan Van Slyck '17
Cynthia Sovulewski '19
Aggies 1 Aggies 1 Aggies 1 20 17 7 14 6 16 10 10 100
Aggies 3 Aggies 3 Aggies 3 19 15 9 19 20 12 14 7 115
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 18 21 8 8 16 17 15 17 120 Audrey Prewitt '20
Reilly Berkshire '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 14 20 21 15 17 18 12 11 128 Dillon Kilroy '19
Wyatt Keysor '20
Aggies 2 Aggies 2 Aggies 2 17 12 16 13 19 9 DNS DNS 132
Ducks 2 Ducks 2 Ducks 2 16 18 17 16 12 19 DNS DNS 144
Ducks 1 Ducks 1 Ducks 1 9 16 11 20 DNS 21 DNS DNS 146
Aggies 4 Aggies 4 Aggies 4 21 19 22 4 18 20 DNS DNS 150
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 4 22 22 18 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS 172
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 1 2 5 3 1 2 5 1 20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 5 3 7 6 3 1 1 4 30 Casey Pruitt '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
Huskies 4 Huskies 4 Huskies 4 7 5 4 5 11 6 10 5 53
Huskies 5 Huskies 5 Huskies 5 16 7 1 7 8 3 4 7 53
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 2 10 6 12 4 7 6 8 55
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 6 4 10 9 10 5 9 9 62 Andrew Wilkinson '18
Mitchell Baertlein '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 17 6 3 1 7 4 15 11 64
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 3 9 8 2 5 RAF 12 3 65 Andrew Nelson '10
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
Huskies 3 Huskies 3 Huskies 3 8 1 2 4 15 11 14 12 67
Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 4 12 11 8 9 10 7 10 71
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 10 18 9 10 6 8 8 2 71 Kendall Kracke '20
Aike Burger '18
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 15 19 16 11 2 13 2 13 91
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 18 17 14 13 13 9 13 15 112 Carter Erickson '18
Benjamin Morasch '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 12 11 20 DNS 16 DNF 3 6 114 Lena Captain '17
Grace Davidson '17
Ducks 1 Ducks 1 Ducks 1 9 13 12 DNS DNF 18 11 14 123
Ducks 2 Ducks 2 Ducks 2 14 14 18 DNS 12 12 19 18 130
Aggies 1 Aggies 1 Aggies 1 19 8 15 DNS 14 17 17 17 130
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 11 15 22 14 19 16 18 16 131 Carter Dojan '20
Richard Hill '20
Aggies 3 Aggies 3 Aggies 3 20 16 17 DNS 17 14 16 DNS 146
Aggies 2 Aggies 2 Aggies 2 DNS DNS 19 DNS 18 15 DNS DNS 167
Aggies 4 Aggies 4 Aggies 4 13 DNS 21 DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 172
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 4 21 DNS 13 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 172
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 17676767676767676
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 255555555
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 31515151515151515
Aggies 1Aggies 1 Aggies 14747474747474747
Aggies 2Aggies 2 Aggies 2471471471471471471471471
Aggies 3Aggies 3 Aggies 311111111
Aggies 4Aggies 4 Aggies 41616161616161616
Huskies 1Huskies 1 Huskies 18888888888888888
Huskies 2Huskies 2 Huskies 28282828282828282
Huskies 3Huskies 3 Huskies 38686868686868686
Huskies 4Huskies 4 Huskies 48181818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 6113113113113113113113113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 17676767676767676
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 255555555
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 31515151515151515
Aggies 1Aggies 1 Aggies 14747474747474747
Aggies 2Aggies 2 Aggies 2471471471471471471471471
Aggies 3Aggies 3 Aggies 311111111
Aggies 4Aggies 4 Aggies 41616161616161616
Huskies 1Huskies 1 Huskies 18888888888888888
Huskies 2Huskies 2 Huskies 28282828282828282
Huskies 3Huskies 3 Huskies 38686868686868686
Huskies 4Huskies 4 Huskies 48181818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 6113113113113113113113113

Conditions — 05/13/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NNW (347°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · W 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.37 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →