Hawkeye Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 6 11 17
2 Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 1 18 8 26
3 Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 2 13 21 34
4 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 23 20 43
5 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 33 31 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Isabella Hamilton '17
Bailey Adkins '19
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 13 August Nagro '19
Thomas Peterson '19
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 1 2 3 4 3 3 3 18 Zhitao Ming '19
Sam Doyle '17
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 4 4 3 4 4 4 23 Caitlin Chenus '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucas Kieffer '19 [3-4]
Daniel Ivankovic '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary Anderson '20 [3-4]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers DNF DNS DNS 5 5 5 33 Jeremy Wiegand '20
Jairo Juliao '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 8 Stefan Peterson '19
Jackson Braatz '17
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 2 2 2 2 1 11 Danielle Green '18
Maya Smith '19
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 3 3 3 3 4 4 20 Geoffrey Montour '19 [1-4]
Sarah Caporelli '19 [5-6]
Leon Sun '19 [1-2]
Alex Hoffmann '20 [3-4]
Kyle Brooks '19 [5-6]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 2 4 4 4 4 3 2 21 Casey White '19 [1-6]
Jay Carlstrom '18 [1-2]
Ian Searles '19 [3-6]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 5 5 DNF 5 5 5 31 Lucy Reising '20
Margaret Cooper '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes552244
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones 1224477
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones 2335522
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers773355
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers447733

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes773355
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones 1335522
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones 2447733
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers224477
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers552244

Conditions — 03/25/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 96%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.0 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity96% Pressure1013.4 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn · NW 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Iowa: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+1.17 ± 0.35)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Iowa by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Iowa, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →