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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 6 12 18
2 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 19 10 29
3 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 18 23 41
4 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 21 26 47
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 34 24 58
6 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 28 34 62
7 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 37 25 62
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 35 35 70
9 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 34 48 82
10 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 43 46 89
11 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 55 48 103
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 1 6 Frederick Martens '20
Keely Gregg '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 4 3 2 1 8 18 Jack Gonzales '18
Elizabeth Lonergan '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 3 4 4 3 5 19 Robert Gruskos '20
Madison Carroll '20
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 5 5 4 2 21 Vincent Miao '18
Edward Bartlett '18
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 2 2 6 9 9 28 Carter Cooper '20 [1-5]
Kirsten Failing '17 [1-3]
David Reuss '17 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 9 10 3 6 6 34 Allison Chenard '19
Kaylee Lane '15
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 6 9 5 4 34 Joshua Kim '17
Andres Menendez '17
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 8 7 10 3 35 Alex Jones '19
Harley Lowery '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 6 9 8 7 7 37 Andrew Hopkins '19
Kathryn Jerwann '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 7 10 8 10 43 Lucas Holde '20
Melissa Mcbride '19
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 11 11 11 11 11 55 Simon Elliott '18
Blake Andreou '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 2 1 1 2 4 10 Abbie Probst '19
Carly Duffy '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 3 4 1 1 12 Kelly-Ann Arrindell '20
Anna Cornetta '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 5 2 6 5 5 23 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Ashley Thess '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 4 DSQ 4 3 24 Leigh Collier '19
Katherine Kwasniak '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 4 6 2 6 7 25 Alex Marshall '20
Phillip Burkhardt '18
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 7 7 3 7 2 26 Jared Gaynes '19
Camden Ford '20
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 8 9 3 6 34 Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-3]
Kirsten Failing '17 [4-5]
Thomas Bracken '19 [1-3]
Dalton Buxton '19 [4-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 6 5 5 9 10 35 Taylor Wood '18
Hannah Williams '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 11 7 10 9 46 Jackson Shortridge '20
Davis Blivin '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 10 9 10 8 11 48 Benjamin Tonks '19
Emily Olive '17
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 11 10 8 11 8 48 Derek Doss '19
Wade Rance '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11133
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 122244
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 233355
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils55577
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs8881010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets66688
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77799
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed10101011
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks9991111
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt11111122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers22244
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars55577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 133355
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 244466
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils66688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs9991111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77799
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8881010
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed11111122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks10101011
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt11133

Conditions — 03/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 34%  ·  Pressure 1036.0 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SSE (169°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity34% Pressure1036.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.40 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →