Old South Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 19 7 26
2 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 16 16 32
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 20 30 50
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 21 31 52
5 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 25 30 55
6 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 36 21 57
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 32 33 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 1 3 4 4 2 16 Zachary Boogaart '20
Juliana Cromie '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 7 1 2 1 3 19 David Hein '19
Kelsy Waack '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 4 6 3 3 1 20 Darby Reddaway '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Conner Killham '18 [3-4]
Matthew Dalton '20 [1-2]
Lauren Yapp '18 [3-6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 5 2 1 2 7 21 Matthew Peterson '18
Sage Morgan '18
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 2 5 6 7 4 25 Alex Myers '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Gonzales '18 [3-4]
Jack Gonzales '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Grant Silverman '17 [3-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack DNF 3 4 5 6 6 32 Jacqueline Welles '17
Caroline Eberhardt '18
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 6 6 7 7 5 5 36 Christopher Deleon '18
Javier Roque '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 1 1 1 1 7 Peter Steo '19
Lauri Niklason '16
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 1 2 2 2 2 16 Aaron Burnett '19
Jasmine Dahlby '19
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 2 4 3 3 5 4 21 Isabella Lemole '20
Lauren Schaeffer '20
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 3 7 6 6 3 30 Maggie Royal '20 [1-2, 5-6]
David Sutton '19 [3-4]
Zaeem Adamjee '20 [1-4]
Matthew Dalton '20 [5-6]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 6 5 6 4 4 5 30 Christopher Chaplin '20
Ashley Thess '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 7 4 7 3 6 31 Cameron Douglas '20 [1-6]
Dana Mclean '17 [1-2]
Carla Szeplaki '20 [3-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 6 5 5 7 7 33 James Robertson '18
Madeline Pruzan '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons113355
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators661133
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State224466
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets335577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins446611
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack557722
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed772244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons224466
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators772244
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State335577
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets446611
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins557722
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack661133
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed113355

Conditions — 02/11/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1025.2 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1025.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.42 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →