2018 Harris Kempner

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 5 21 26
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 14 14 28
3 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 23 5 28
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 12 17 29
5 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 12 26 38
6 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 20 19 39
7 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 29 20 49
8 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 32 27 59
9 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 33 31 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 1 2 1 5 Alex Schwinn '19
Lyndsey Sager '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 2 2 4 4 12 Jonathan Sager '20
Ava Cares '20
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 5 3 1 3 12 Maria Canovas Gonzalez '19
Marissa Thelen '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 3 4 5 2 14 Alexander Thompson '18
Katerina Meyer '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 4 5 6 5 20 Ian Beck '19
Corey Staph '19
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 7 6 3 7 23 Dillon Fecht '19
Andrew Hinson '20
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 8 7 8 6 29 Alina Guldy '18
Joseph Morris '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 6 8 9 9 32 Aaron Comen '18 [1-2]
Arosh Chaudhari '20 [3-4]
Jordin Perry '20 [1-2]
Carter Young '20 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 9 9 7 8 33 Megan Carugati '19 [1-2]
Elizabeth Bik '21 [3-4]
Elizabeth Bik '21 [1-2]
Gabby Spring '20 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 1 1 2 1 5 Marisa Soto '20
Paige Hall '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 4 7 1 2 14 John Jacobs '19
Sadie Swindall '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 2 4 7 4 17 Charles Larrouilh '21
Aliris Lopez '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 6 3 5 5 19 Hayden Montoya '21
Hannah Barlow '20
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 3 2 8 7 20 Logan Hoelscher '21
Anya Jillson '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 9 6 3 3 21 Connor Sager '20
Israel Calimano '21
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 5 8 4 9 26 Mikasa Barnes '18
David Harlin '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 7 5 9 6 27 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-2]
Karina Bertelsmann '22 [3-4]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-2]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 8 9 6 8 31 Christopher Helms '20 [1-2]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4]
Kiefer Chaudhari '21 [1-2]
Katherine Mason '21 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos7799
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes8811
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns9922
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies1133
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders2244
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 13355
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 24466
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 35577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 46688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos8811
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes9922
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns1133
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies2244
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders3355
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 14466
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 25577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 36688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 47799

Conditions — 02/10/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Moderate rain
Humidity 99%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From SSW (192°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine1.1 hrs Humidity99% Pressure1012.3 hPa Rain2.55 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 2 kn · N 19 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.48 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →