Barnyard Bizarre

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 25 18 43
2 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 21 23 44
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 22 38 60
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 43 34 77
5 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 50 34 84
6 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 35 58 93
7 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 53 48 101
8 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 64 MRP 58 MRP 122 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 2 1 1 DSQ 1 1 4 2 21 Maria Canovas Gonzalez '19
Marissa Thelen '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies RAF 2 3 1 2 3 1 1 22 Dean Bethel '19
Leena Siiteri '21
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 1 3 4 6 4 2 2 3 25 Shelby Thornton '19 [1-8]
Elizabeth Batton '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Quinten Loya '20 [3-4]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 4 4 5 4 3 4 6 5 35 Marisa Soto '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Dillon Fecht '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Paige Hall '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Hinson '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 7 6 7 6 5 3 6 43 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Comen '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 7 8 7 2 8 DSQ 5 4 50 Patrick Burtchaell '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Sofia Giordano '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Brendon Caliva '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Natalie Kulka '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 6 6 8 3 7 DNF 7 7 53 Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Carugati '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Adam Vollmar '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Bik '21 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 5 5 2 5 5 6 8 8 64 MRP Alina Guldy '18
Vamshi Arugonda '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 2 1 3 5 1 3 2 1 18 Emma Cooledge '20 [1-8]
Brendan Frederick '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Weston Luke '20 [3-4]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 3 3 1 2 2 5 4 3 23 Jordan Johnson '18
David Harlin '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 2 2 6 7 1 6 DSQ 34 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Young '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Frederik Winguth '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Arosh Chaudhari '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 6 7 5 4 5 2 3 2 34 Alexandro Lopez '21
Vanessa Tetzlaff '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 5 4 4 3 DSQ 4 5 4 38 Jack Clark '19
Shannon Ainsworth '20
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 8 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 48 Trenton Seely '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Helms '20 [3-4]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [7-8]
Benjamin Ganucheau '21 [1-2]
Charlie Hickman '21 [3-4]
Austin Mccanless '20 [5-6]
Kiefer Chaudhari '21 [7-8]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 4 5 DSQ 1 4 8 1 6 58 MRP Logan Hoelscher '21
Maxwell Coker '18
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 7 8 7 8 6 7 8 7 58 Rachel Pearson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Greigs '20 [3-4, 7-8]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos66881133
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes77992244
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack11336688
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas88113366
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns99224477
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies22447799
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders33668811
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies44779922

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos77992244
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes88113366
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack22447799
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas99224477
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns11336688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies33668811
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders44779922
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies66881133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Patrick Burtchaell '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Sofia Giordano '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Brendon Caliva '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Natalie Kulka '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Wolfpack Alexandro Lopez '21 Vanessa Tetzlaff '21
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Carugati '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Adam Vollmar '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Bik '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Aggies Trenton Seely '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Helms '20 [3-4]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [7-8]
Benjamin Ganucheau '21 [1-2]
Charlie Hickman '21 [3-4]
Austin Mccanless '20 [5-6]
Kiefer Chaudhari '21 [7-8]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Marisa Soto '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Dillon Fecht '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Paige Hall '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Hinson '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Islanders Rachel Pearson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Greigs '20 [3-4, 7-8]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Dean Bethel '19 Leena Siiteri '21
Aggies Jack Clark '19 Shannon Ainsworth '20
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Maria Canovas Gonzalez '19 Marissa Thelen '19
Bronchos Jordan Johnson '18 David Harlin '21
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Alina Guldy '18 Vamshi Arugonda '19
Buffaloes Logan Hoelscher '21 Maxwell Coker '18
University of North Texas University of North Texas Shelby Thornton '19 [1-8] Elizabeth Batton '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Quinten Loya '20 [3-4]
North Texas Emma Cooledge '20 [1-8] Brendan Frederick '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Weston Luke '20 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Michael Hernandez '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Comen '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Longhorns Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Young '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Frederik Winguth '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Arosh Chaudhari '20 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 03/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From ESE (110°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine4.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Texas A&M: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.28
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Texas A&M, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →