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Freshman Icebreaker

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 28 28 56
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 26 33 59
3 Marquette University Marquette University Baby Eagles 1 34 63 97
4 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 47 50 97
5 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 78 49 127
6 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 92 58 150
7 Marquette University Marquette University Baby Eagles 2 92 60 152
8 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 61 99 160
9 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 111 MRP 129 MRP 240 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 DSQ 26 Allison Marozza '21 [1-12]
Jake Orhan '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Murphy Vandervest '21 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 3 2 1 1 3 5 3 2 1 2 4 1 28 Kevin Gallagher '21 [1-12]
Mayalin Vondrasek '21 [1-10]
Mitchell Koppinger '20 [11-12]
Marquette University Marquette University Baby Eagles 1 4 3 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 4 2 2 34 Nicholas Carney '20 [1-12]
Makena Walsh '21 [1-2, 5-8, 11-12]
Andrew Freigang '21 [3-4, 9-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 5 5 4 4 5 4 2 4 5 3 3 3 47 Brian Pribe '22 [1-12]
Eric Lynch '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Chase Mercer '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Caitlin Mutti '20 [9-10]
Ashley Carr '21 [11-12]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 2 4 6 5 4 2 6 8 4 5 8 7 61 Sophia Henn '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Walter Mohler '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Anna Benedict '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sarah Caldwell '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 6 7 8 7 7 6 8 5 6 6 7 5 78 Graham Eger '19 [1-12]
Sierra Johnston '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Samuel Ephraim '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Baby Eagles 2 7 8 7 6 9 DNF DSQ DSQ 8 8 5 4 92 Connor Mccoll '19 [1-6, 9-12]
No Show [7-8]
Erik Floyd '21 [1-6, 11-12]
No Show [7-8]
Thomas Borin '19 [9-10]
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 92 Kaitlyn Rowland '21
Leahi Johsens '21
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 8 6 5 8 6 7 5 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS 111 MRP Steven Neveadomi '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Mark Myers '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Madeline Osborne '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Alexander Kiraly '20 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 6 DSQ 1 1 28 Chloe Frentzel '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Peter Pillari '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Grace Hillman '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mitchell Koppinger '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Chloe Frentzel '21 [11-12]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 2 1 3 3 5 5 2 1 3 2 3 3 33 Sarah Youtt '21 [1-12]
Margaret Carroll '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Richard Gagnon '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 3 5 4 2 3 3 5 5 2 6 7 4 49 Max Ellsworth '21 [1-12]
Matthew Moores '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Patrick Ryan '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 4 2 5 2 2 7 6 7 4 5 2 50 Kristen Ruta '19 [1-12]
Kaitlin Conner '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Caitlin Mutti '20 [3-4]
Ashley Carr '21 [7-8]
Eric Lynch '21 [11-12]
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 6 6 5 4 7 6 3 4 5 5 2 5 58 Maggie Ryland '21
Micah Perry '21
Marquette University Marquette University Baby Eagles 2 5 3 6 6 4 7 6 7 1 3 6 6 60 Solomon Dworsky '21 [1-12]
Halle Imm '21 [1-2, 7-12]
Thomas Borin '19 [3-6]
Marquette University Marquette University Baby Eagles 1 7 7 8 8 6 4 4 3 4 1 4 7 63 Colin Higgins '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Jack Mcnally '21 [3-4]
Cecilia Dietzler '21 [1-2, 5-12]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 9 8 DNF 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 99 Emily Doyle '21 [1-6, 9-10]
Bridget Slandzicki '17 [7-8, 11-12]
Kyle Adlaka '21 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Bridget Slandzicki '17 [3-4]
James Irwin '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 8 9 7 7 9 9 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 129 MRP Justin Fischer '21 [1-4, 7-12]
Grant Tyson '20 [5-6]
Grant Tyson '20 [1-2, 7-12]
Brandon Hernandez '21 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers113355779922
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Baby Eagles 1224466881133
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Baby Eagles 2335577992244
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 1557799224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2668811335577
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1779922446688
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2881133557799
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes446688113355
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets992244668811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers224466881133
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Baby Eagles 1335577992244
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Baby Eagles 2446688113355
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 1668811335577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2779922446688
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1881133557799
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2992244668811
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes557799224466
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets113355779922
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Kaitlyn Rowland '21 Leahi Johsens '21
Chargers Maggie Ryland '21 Micah Perry '21
Marquette University Marquette University Nicholas Carney '20 [1-12] Makena Walsh '21 [1-2, 5-8, 11-12]
Andrew Freigang '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Baby Eagles 1 Colin Higgins '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Jack Mcnally '21 [3-4]		 Cecilia Dietzler '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Marquette University Marquette University Connor Mccoll '19 [1-6, 9-12]
No Show [7-8]		 Erik Floyd '21 [1-6, 11-12]
No Show [7-8]
Thomas Borin '19 [9-10]
Baby Eagles 2 Solomon Dworsky '21 [1-12] Halle Imm '21 [1-2, 7-12]
Thomas Borin '19 [3-6]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Steven Neveadomi '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Mark Myers '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Madeline Osborne '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Alexander Kiraly '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Buckeyes Justin Fischer '21 [1-4, 7-12]
Grant Tyson '20 [5-6]		 Grant Tyson '20 [1-2, 7-12]
Brandon Hernandez '21 [3-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Allison Marozza '21 [1-12] Jake Orhan '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Murphy Vandervest '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Wolverines 1 Sarah Youtt '21 [1-12] Margaret Carroll '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Richard Gagnon '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Graham Eger '19 [1-12] Sierra Johnston '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Samuel Ephraim '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Wolverines 2 Max Ellsworth '21 [1-12] Matthew Moores '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Patrick Ryan '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Kevin Gallagher '21 [1-12] Mayalin Vondrasek '21 [1-10]
Mitchell Koppinger '20 [11-12]
Fighting Irish 1 Chloe Frentzel '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Peter Pillari '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Grace Hillman '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mitchell Koppinger '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Chloe Frentzel '21 [11-12]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Sophia Henn '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Walter Mohler '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Anna Benedict '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sarah Caldwell '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Fighting Irish 2 Emily Doyle '21 [1-6, 9-10]
Bridget Slandzicki '17 [7-8, 11-12]		 Kyle Adlaka '21 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Bridget Slandzicki '17 [3-4]
James Irwin '21 [5-6, 9-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Brian Pribe '22 [1-12] Eric Lynch '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Chase Mercer '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Caitlin Mutti '20 [9-10]
Ashley Carr '21 [11-12]
Rockets Kristen Ruta '19 [1-12] Kaitlin Conner '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Caitlin Mutti '20 [3-4]
Ashley Carr '21 [7-8]
Eric Lynch '21 [11-12]

Conditions — 03/24/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1023.4 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 43°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 26°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.2 kn
avg  ·  max 14.6 kn
Gusts to 29.4 kn
From E (88°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1023.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 15 kn · E 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Notre Dame: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Notre Dame by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Notre Dame, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →