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Qualifier 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 7 8 15
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 20 13 33
3 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 15 29 44
4 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 32 58 90
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 42 58 100
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 57 45 102
7 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 66 43 109
8 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 71 MRP 41 MRP 112 MRP
9 Owls Owls Owls 72 MRP 43 MRP 115 MRP
10 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 48 71 119
11 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 66 53 119
12 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 1 53 MRP 78 MRP 131 MRP
13 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 64 81 145
14 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 2 99 MRP 90 MRP 189 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 John Hanna '19
Connor Sager '20
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 3 4 2 2 1 3 15 Forrest Short '17 [1-6]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [1-2]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [3-4]
Weston Luke '20 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 2 4 7 3 2 20 Alex Schwinn '19
Lyndsey Sager '21
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 5 3 5 3 5 11 32 Malcolm Kriegel '18
Grace Bloomfield '19
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 9 9 7 6 4 7 42 Emily Verdoia '20
Arosh Chaudhari '20
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 7 8 6 11 10 6 48 Alexandra Oyston '18
Trenton Seely '18
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 1 4 5 3 9 8 4 53 MRP Chad Kenkel '18
Elinor Rowe '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 7 13 10 9 12 57 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-6]
Gabriella Wong '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [3-4]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 13 13 11 4 14 9 64 Sofia Giordano '20
Dahlia Martinez '20
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 10 12 10 12 12 10 66 Aaron Comen '18
Jordin Perry '20
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 12 10 12 13 11 8 66 Jordan Johnson '18
Cheyenne Christy '19
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 8 6 8 8 6 DSQ 71 MRP Marisa Soto '20
Paige Hall '19
Owls Owls Owls 11 DSQ 9 5 7 5 72 MRP
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 2 14 11 14 14 13 13 99 MRP Dakota Brewster '20
Chanley Jenkins '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 8 Alexander Thompson '18
Amanda Olson '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 3 2 2 1 3 13 Jonathan Sager '20
Ava Cares '20
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 5 4 3 5 6 6 29 Emma Cooledge '20 [1-2]
Shelby Thornton '19 [3-6]
Shelby Thornton '19 [1-2]
Emma Cooledge '20 [3-4]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 3 2 4 4 4 4 41 MRP Benjamin Froelich '21
Andrew Hinson '20
Owls Owls Owls 4 5 7 3 2 2 43 MRP
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 9 7 8 9 5 5 43 Mikasa Barnes '18
David Harlin '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 8 10 6 6 8 7 45 Alec Chappetta '18 [1-6]
Mariana Caldas '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Whitney Pettijohn '20 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 7 6 DSQ 7 7 11 53 Anish Zute '18
Lillian Andersen '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 6 11 10 8 11 12 58 Carter Young '20 [1-6]
Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-4]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 12 9 5 13 9 10 58 Jessica Andres '20
Sophia Ricker '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 13 14 9 12 14 9 71 Jonathan Rolling '20
John Mcdavid V '21
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 1 10 8 11 11 10 8 78 MRP Chad Kenkel '18
Elinor Rowe '21
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 14 13 13 14 13 14 81 Patrick Burtchaell '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandro Lopez '21 [3-4]
Natalie Kulka '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Vanessa Tetzlaff '21 [3-4]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 2 11 12 12 10 12 13 90 MRP Spencer Jones '20
Ian Lodrigueza '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos101012121414
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack113355
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas1111131311
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 1224466
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 2335577
OwlsOwls Owls446688
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 11212141422
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 213131133
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 314142244
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies557799
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders66881010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 177991111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 28810101212
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave9911111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos1111131311
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack224466
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas1212141422
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 1335577
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 2446688
OwlsOwls Owls557799
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 113131133
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 214142244
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 3113355
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies66881010
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders77991111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 18810101212
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 29911111313
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave101012121414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Sofia Giordano '20 Dahlia Martinez '20
Wolfpack Patrick Burtchaell '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandro Lopez '21 [3-4]		 Natalie Kulka '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Vanessa Tetzlaff '21 [3-4]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Chad Kenkel '18 Elinor Rowe '21
Cowboys 1 Chad Kenkel '18 Elinor Rowe '21
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Dakota Brewster '20 Chanley Jenkins '20
Cowboys 2 Spencer Jones '20 Ian Lodrigueza '21
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Alexandra Oyston '18 Trenton Seely '18
Aggies Jonathan Rolling '20 John Mcdavid V '21
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Marisa Soto '20 Paige Hall '19
Islanders Benjamin Froelich '21 Andrew Hinson '20
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Alex Schwinn '19 Lyndsey Sager '21
Aggies 1 Jonathan Sager '20 Ava Cares '20
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston John Hanna '19 Connor Sager '20
Aggies 2 Alexander Thompson '18 Amanda Olson '19
Tulane University Tulane University Malcolm Kriegel '18 Grace Bloomfield '19
Green Wave Jessica Andres '20 Sophia Ricker '19
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Jordan Johnson '18 Cheyenne Christy '19
Bronchos Mikasa Barnes '18 David Harlin '21
University of North Texas University of North Texas Forrest Short '17 [1-6] Colby Zschiesche '20 [1-2]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [3-4]
Weston Luke '20 [5-6]
North Texas Emma Cooledge '20 [1-2]
Shelby Thornton '19 [3-6]		 Shelby Thornton '19 [1-2]
Emma Cooledge '20 [3-4]
Colby Zschiesche '20 [5-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Aaron Comen '18 Jordin Perry '20
Longhorns 1 Anish Zute '18 Lillian Andersen '21
University of Texas University of Texas Michael Hernandez '20 [1-6] Gabriella Wong '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [3-4]
Longhorns 2 Alec Chappetta '18 [1-6] Mariana Caldas '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Whitney Pettijohn '20 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Emily Verdoia '20 Arosh Chaudhari '20
Longhorns 3 Carter Young '20 [1-6] Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-4]

Conditions — 01/27/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 86%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine2.7 hrs Humidity86% Pressure1021.1 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →