SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 6 13
2 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 16 18 34
3 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 15 28 43
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 28 22 50
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 37 24 61
6 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 31 37 68
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 35 34 69
8 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 47 47 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 1 1 7 Frederick Martens '20
Keely Gregg '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 2 3 1 3 2 15 Sarah Deloach '21
Elizabeth Lonergan '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 3 2 3 2 3 16 Carrie Marshall '21
Madison Carroll '20
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 6 6 4 4 6 28 Alex Jones '19 [1-6]
James Ahern '19 [1-2]
Ashlyn Park '18 [3-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 5 7 5 5 4 31 Allison Chenard '19 [1-6]
Davidson Goldsmith '18 [1-2]
Ross Oliver '19 [3-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 4 4 7 6 8 35 James Robertson '18
Robert Dubman '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 7 5 6 7 5 37 Maggie Royal '20
Allison Ronan '21
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 8 8 8 8 7 47 Shawn Majzlik '18
Katherine Mazade '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Ryan Ratliffe '21
Mary Morano '21
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 2 5 5 2 2 18 Andrew Dodd '21 [1-6]
Jenn Casey '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Sydney Foley '20 [3-4]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 3 3 2 5 4 22 Taylor Wood '18 [1-2]
Robert Williams '21 [3-6]
Harley Lowery '19 [1-2]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 6 2 3 3 7 24 Abigail Crombie '21
Hannah Gersch '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 4 4 4 7 5 28 Keara Paquette '21
Ashley Thess '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 5 7 7 6 3 34 Jordan Hayes '21
Katherine Richardson '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 8 6 6 4 6 37 Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-2]
Jennifer Cahalan '19 [3-6]
Ross Oliver '19 [1-2]
Kate Maner '20 [3-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 7 8 8 8 8 47 Clare Sweeney '19
Kamran Kangal '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113355
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars335577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers224466
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs668822
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets446688
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack557711
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks882244
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks771133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224466
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars446688
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers335577
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs771133
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets557711
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack668822
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks113355
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks882244

Conditions — 03/10/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From SW (234°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →