SAISA South Point #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 20 8 28
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 13 16 29
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 10 22 32
4 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 24 21 45
5 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 23 23 46
6 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 36 41 77
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 5 1 1 1 1 10 Ian Willoughby '21
Camryn Kennedy '21
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 2 3 3 2 13 Cameron Smith '19
Samantha Kappaz '21
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 3 2 3 4 5 3 20 Zachary Boogaart '20
Juliana Cromie '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 4 4 5 2 4 23 Kaitlyn Delisser '20
Catherine Chase '20
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 5 3 5 2 4 5 24 Jeffrey Hayden '20
Christopher Deleon '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 6 6 6 6 6 6 36 Taylor Brunsvold '21
Dalton Arrendale '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 8 Charlie Curtis '21
Audrey Perry '21
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 3 4 2 2 2 16 Preston Senior '19
Delaney Brown '20
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 4 5 1 4 4 3 21 Mitchell Powell '20
Isabella Lemole '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 2 5 3 3 4 22 Connor Ratcliff '21
Samantha Pynchon '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 4 2 5 5 5 23 Olivia Keefe '21
Ariel Casaretto '21
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 6 41 Daniel Morrow '21
Patrick Morano '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111333
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 1333555
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 2444666
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles222444
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes555111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls666222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons222444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 1444666
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 2555111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles333555
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes666222
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111333

Conditions — 03/17/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From SW (229°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →