Harris Kempner Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 38 21 59
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 39 MRP 37 MRP 76 MRP
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 11 77 88
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 49 40 89
5 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 75 38 113
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 64 MRP 55 MRP 119 MRP
7 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 52 72 124
8 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 76 65 141
9 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 109 MRP 120 MRP 229 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 11 John Hanna '19
Ava Cares '20
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 3 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 3 4 38 Nick Baker '20 [1-10]
Simon Munoz '20 [1-6]
Robert Anderson '21 [7-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 39 MRP Skylar Bayman '22 [1-10]
Leena Siiteri '21 [1-8]
Sadie Swindall '21 [9-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 4 5 6 5 3 5 5 3 7 6 49 Emily Verdoia '20
Karina Bertelsmann '22
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 5 6 3 4 6 6 6 5 6 5 52 Dillon Fecht '19 [1-10]
Stormie Gutierrez '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Whitney Yates '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 3 5 6 4 3 3 7 4 3 64 MRP Banks Blackwell '20 [1-10]
Hunter Mcconie '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 8 7 DNF 8 8 8 8 6 5 7 75 Marissa Thelen '19
David Harlin '21
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 7 8 7 7 7 7 9 8 8 8 76 Emma Cooledge '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Shelby Thornton '19 [7-8]
Sara Curtis '21 [1-2]
Shelby Thornton '19 [3-4]
William Bass '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Stuart Zenner '19 [7-8]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes DNS DNS 8 9 9 9 7 9 9 9 109 MRP Carson Becker '22
Anna Morgan Abernathy '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 1 1 2 3 1 2 4 1 4 21 Teagan Walsh '20 [1-10]
Corinne Keogh '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Robert Anderson '21 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 1 37 MRP Connor Sager '20
Wes Sholders '21
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 5 4 3 3 4 3 5 5 4 2 38 Jacob Beesley '22
Payton Harrell '22
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 1 5 6 40 Theresa Mccomiskey '22 [1-10]
Taima Crean '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gabriella Wong '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 4 5 5 4 2 5 1 3 3 3 55 MRP Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-10]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Victor Sambuis '21 [3-4, 7-10]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 6 6 7 6 6 7 7 8 7 5 65 Johnathan Henkel '20 [1-10]
Elizabeth Batton '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [3-4]
Sara Curtis '21 [7-10]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 7 7 6 7 8 6 8 7 6 DNF 72 Andrew Hinson '20
Paige Hall '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 8 8 8 8 7 8 6 6 8 DNS 77 Israel Calimano '21
Sophia Niglio '20
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 120 MRP Carson Becker '22
Anna Morgan Abernathy '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos5577992244
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes6688113355
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green7799224466
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars1133557799
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 18811335577
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 29922446688
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders2244668811
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 13355779922
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 24466881133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos6688113355
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes7799224466
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green8811335577
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars2244668811
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 19922446688
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 21133557799
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders3355779922
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 14466881133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 25577992244
School / Team SkipperCrew
Rollins College Rollins College Nick Baker '20 [1-10] Simon Munoz '20 [1-6]
Robert Anderson '21 [7-10]
Tars Teagan Walsh '20 [1-10] Corinne Keogh '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Robert Anderson '21 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Dillon Fecht '19 [1-10] Stormie Gutierrez '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Whitney Yates '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Islanders Andrew Hinson '20 Paige Hall '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston John Hanna '19 Ava Cares '20
Aggies 1 Israel Calimano '21 Sophia Niglio '20
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Skylar Bayman '22 [1-10] Leena Siiteri '21 [1-8]
Sadie Swindall '21 [9-10]
Aggies 2 Connor Sager '20 Wes Sholders '21
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Marissa Thelen '19 David Harlin '21
Bronchos Jacob Beesley '22 Payton Harrell '22
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Carson Becker '22 Anna Morgan Abernathy '20
Buffaloes Carson Becker '22 Anna Morgan Abernathy '20
University of North Texas University of North Texas Emma Cooledge '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Shelby Thornton '19 [7-8]
Sara Curtis '21 [1-2]
Shelby Thornton '19 [3-4]
William Bass '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Stuart Zenner '19 [7-8]
Mean Green Johnathan Henkel '20 [1-10] Elizabeth Batton '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [3-4]
Sara Curtis '21 [7-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Emily Verdoia '20 Karina Bertelsmann '22
Longhorns 1 Theresa Mccomiskey '22 [1-10] Taima Crean '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gabriella Wong '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Banks Blackwell '20 [1-10] Hunter Mcconie '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 2 Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-10] Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Victor Sambuis '21 [3-4, 7-10]

Conditions — 02/09/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1031.5 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.7 kn
avg  ·  max 15.8 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From NE (45°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine2.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1031.5 hPa Rain0.28 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 16 kn · E 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.36
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.48 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.23 means a rating gap counts about 20% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →