Admiral Alymers

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 25
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 39
3 Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix 84
4 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 110
5 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 122
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 133
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 148
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 1 4 3 1 1 1 11 Tyler Miller '23
Dean Balcirak '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 3 1 1 4 2 3 14 Adrian Winkelman '25
Kyle Fitzgerald '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 2 2 2 2 4 2 14 Thomas Johnson '23
Rowan Woods '23
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 4 3 4 3 7 4 25 Aidan Boni '26
Tyler Meadows '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 8 6 7 6 8 5 40 Lucie Rochat '22
Patrick Stevenson '23
Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix B 5 7 10 8 3 7 40
Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix A 6 5 6 7 5 DNF 44
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 7 9 5 5 6 DNF 47 Will Rudaz '22
Kathleen Hanson '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 12 11 11 10 13 6 63 Clayton Greig '22
Natalie Renehan '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 10 8 9 11 11 DNF 64 Sawyer Bouley '25
Emma Ardizzoni '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 9 13 8 DNF 9 DNF 69 Liam Harkins '23
Alaina Vollmar '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 11 10 DNF 9 10 DNF 70 Norman Walker '24
Hannah Hicks '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 14 14 DNF DNF 12 8 78 Jack Clasby '25 [1-6]
Robert Houde '23 [1-4]
Logan O’Rourke '24 [5-6]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 13 12 12 DNF DNS DNF 82 Thea Joseph '22
Maya Saterson '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers111111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers222222
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats555555
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies333333
PhoenixPhoenix Phoenix444444
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams666666
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers888888
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers999999
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats121212121212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101010101010
PhoenixPhoenix Phoenix111111111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131313131313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts141414141414

Conditions — 04/09/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1002.8 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 17.8 kn
Gusts to 33.6 kn
From SSW (192°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1002.8 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.55 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →