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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 15 26
2 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 9 18 27
3 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 18 12 30
4 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 16 22 38
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 26 17 43
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 26 27 53
7 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 43 34 77
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 43 37 80
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 42 44 86
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 41 49 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 3 1 2 2 1 9 Gregory Walters '24
Kingsland Bland '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 4 1 1 4 11 Charles Mckenzie '25
Grace Beard '25
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 2 3 3 3 16 Carolina Cassedy '22
Ian Hoogenboom '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 2 5 5 4 2 18 Ian Street '23
Anna Soykan '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 3 6 7 6 26 Harrison Bailey '23
Lulu Holtz '24
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 6 6 4 5 5 26 Cole Woerner '22
Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 9 8 8 9 41 Samuel Trimble '24
Benjamin Weatherly '25
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 7 9 10 8 42 Sara Boyd '22 [1-5]
Michael Schaaf '23 [1-3]
Gabriel Fontanella '24 [4-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 9 8 7 9 10 43 Nevin Williams '24
Torin Stremlau '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 10 10 10 6 7 43 Thomas Gallant '25
Ellie Dubose '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 1 1 6 3 1 12 David Manley '23
Tori Baglio '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 4 1 1 5 15 Ethan Homberger '25
Leah Cody '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 6 3 2 4 17 Jacob Usher '25
Weatherley Tripp '23
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 5 2 5 4 2 18 Lewis Bragg '25
Malcolm Mcalister '23
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 3 5 2 6 6 22 Natalie Aramendia '25
Christine Catherman '22
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 6 7 4 7 3 27 Tan Tonge '22
James Elder '15
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 8 3 7 8 8 34 Eilis Mclaughlin '22
Haley Pepper '24
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 10 8 5 7 37 Felicity Davies '23 [1-3]
Christine Moore '24 [4-5]
Joey Dunn '25 [1-3]
Sydney Mitchell '23 [4-5]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 8 9 9 9 44 Carter Adams '24 [1-5]
Ashlyn Cowgill '23 [1-3]
Michael Schaaf '23 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 9 10 10 10 49 Noah Wetz '25 [1-5]
Emma Pope '25 [1-2]
Edward Ryan '23 [3-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11133
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22244
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs66688
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils33355
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs77799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets44466
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55577
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 199911
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 210101022
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks8881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers22244
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33355
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs77799
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils44466
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs8881010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets55577
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66688
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 110101022
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 211133
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99911

Conditions — 02/26/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1027.2 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1027.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →