SAISA North Points #6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 9 20
2 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 18 19 37
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 31 27 58
4 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 32 42 74
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 33 44 77
6 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 51 40 91
7 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 56 51 107
8 Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 59 60 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 11 Charles Mckenzie '25
Nina Lubchenco '25
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 2 2 1 3 2 2 4 2 18 Carolina Cassedy '22 [1-8]
Caroline Maloney '22 [1-6]
Elena Waechter '22 [7-8]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 6 4 4 4 4 3 3 31 Roberto Martelli '24
Hector Mur Lopez '25
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 7 32 No Show
Catherine Carpenter '23
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 4 3 7 3 5 2 4 33 Phoebe Whitbeck '23
Faith Kane '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 51 Samuel Trimble '24
Catherine Leonard '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 8 7 7 8 7 7 7 5 56 Felicity Davies '23 [1-8]
Lizzie Anderson '23 [1-2]
Rebecca Koch '25 [3-4]
Evelyn Earnhardt '25 [5-6]
Emma Frank '25 [7-8]
Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 6 5 8 5 8 DNF DNF DNF 59
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 9 Christofor Tella '25
Grace Beard '25
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 2 2 2 2 1 4 3 3 19 Ian Hoogenboom '25
William Robertson '25
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 3 3 3 5 2 4 4 27 Tan Tonge '22
Lauren Mellinger '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 40 Jake Tipper '24
Garrett Holt '24
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 8 8 7 5 3 7 2 2 42 Theodore Taylor '25
No Show
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 4 8 8 4 3 7 6 44 Christine Moore '24 [1-4]
Drew Davey '22 [5-8]
Sydney Mitchell '23 [1-4]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 7 7 5 6 7 6 6 7 51 Nevin Williams '24 [1-8]
Emma Frank '25 [1-2]
Joey Dunn '25 [3-8]
Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 5 6 6 7 DNF DNF DNF DNF 60
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11336688
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils2255771111
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs5577111122
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets33668811
Tar HeelsTar Heels Tar Heels66881133
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks7711112255
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub88113366
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons1111225577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2255771111
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils33668811
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs66881133
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5577111122
Tar HeelsTar Heels Tar Heels7711112255
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks88113366
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub1111225577
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons11336688

Conditions — 03/27/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1012.7 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.4 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1012.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →