Navigate

Husky Women's Fleet Race 1

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 54
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 87
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 143
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 151
5 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 170
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 B 1 1 1 1 1 3 5 2 1 1 1 18 Emily Smith '25
Maya Outhred '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings A 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 3 4 2 4 27 Kira Blumhagen '24
Ella Barnard '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 A 5 5 3 6 2 1 3 1 3 4 3 36 Erin Pamplin '24
Julia Oglevie '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 A 3 4 7 5 5 5 8 7 2 5 5 56 Sarah Kahle '22
Amelia Kau '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 A 8 3 6 3 4 7 2 9 6 7 2 57 Emilia Garcia Bompadre '23
Kathleen Brengman '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings B 4 10 4 7 6 4 4 4 5 6 6 60 Caroline Hurley '25 [1, 3-11]
Anna Morrow '24 [2]
Anna Morrow '24 [1, 3-11]
Caroline Hurley '25 [2]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks B 6 6 5 4 8 10 7 10 9 9 10 84 Emily Avey '25 [1, 3-4, 7, 9-10]
Sadie Creemer '25 [2, 5-6, 8, 11]
Sadie Creemer '25 [1, 7]
Emily Avey '25 [2, 8]
Kate Ryan '25 [3-6, 9-11]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks A 10 8 10 8 9 6 10 5 10 3 7 86 Molly Mcleod '25
Elisabeth Schreiner '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 B 9 9 8 9 7 8 6 6 8 8 9 87 Autumn Vandehey '23
Grace Smith '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 B 7 7 9 10 10 9 9 8 7 10 8 94 Lauren Mcclintock '25
Kaia Armas '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks11111111111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 122222222222
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 233333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 344444444444
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings55555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks66666666666
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 177777777777
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 288888888888
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 399999999999
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1010101010101010101010

Conditions — 02/11/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1027.1 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From NW (311°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1027.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →