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Kiara Broudy Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 23 28 51
2 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 21 31 52
3 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3 28 34 62
4 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5 45 29 74
5 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 43 33 76
6 Anteaters Anteaters Anteaters 46 41 87
7 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 52 40 92
8 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 38 63 101
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 67 67 134
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 1 3 3 1 5 2 2 4 21 Colin Olson '26 [1-8]
Irene Abfalterer '25 [1-6]
Devon Baker-Berry '26 [7-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 2 4 2 5 1 3 4 2 23 Sean Von Engelbrechten '23 [1-8]
Blossom Jee '25 [1-4]
Chloe Lighterink '24 [5-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3 3 1 8 4 2 1 6 3 28 Ethan ? '25 [1-6]
Ryan Martin '23 [7-8]
Eliza Murrell '26 [1-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 4 2 1 6 4 7 8 6 38 Jonah Brees '23
Aryaman Patel '24
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 9 5 6 2 8 5 3 5 43 Jack Zemke '25 [1-6]
Lucas Elliott '25 [7-8]
Connor Fagan '26 [1-6]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5 5 6 5 3 7 6 5 8 45 Scyc '25
Scyc '25
Anteaters Anteaters Anteaters 8 8 9 9 6 4 1 1 46
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 6 7 4 8 3 DNF 7 7 52 Maximus Suh '26 [1-8]
Orion Spatafora '25 [1-6]
Sophie Smith '23 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 7 9 7 7 9 8 DNS DNS 67 Jonathan Hickey '23
Pablo Barquin Soria '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 1 2 4 3 2 4 5 7 28 Braedon Hansen '25
Sara Camarero '24
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5 DNF 1 1 1 1 6 3 6 29 Scyc '25
Scyc '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 5 4 5 4 5 3 1 4 31 Blake Roberts '25
Ryan Martin '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 2 5 7 2 3 1 8 5 33 Jonas Holdenried '26
Karl Zoghbi '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 3 6 6 3 6 6 2 2 3 34 Dante Massaro '26 [1-3]
Summer Drake '26 [4-8]
Neil Karkhanis '26 [1-3]
Elle Frankston '26 [4-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 4 8 6 8 4 5 4 1 40 Artie Nazarov '23
Andrew Ring '25
Anteaters Anteaters Anteaters 3 3 2 9 8 8 6 2 41
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 8 9 DNF 7 7 7 7 8 63 Melody Quevedo '23 [1-3]
Sam Dudley '23 [4-8]
Jack Skinner '25 [1-4]
Benjamin Lee '23 [5-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 7 7 8 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS 67 Ryan Mccrystal '25
Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1147147147147147147147147
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2148148148148148148148148
AnteatersAnteaters Anteaters2626262626262626
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons291291291291291291291291
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1134134134134134134134134
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2133133133133133133133133
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 33333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 43434343434343434
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5106106106106106106106106

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1147147147147147147147147
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2148148148148148148148148
AnteatersAnteaters Anteaters2626262626262626
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons291291291291291291291291
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1134134134134134134134134
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2133133133133133133133133
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 33333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 43434343434343434
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5106106106106106106106106

Conditions — 05/20/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn* · SW 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Santa Cruz: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Cruz by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at UC Santa Cruz, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →