University of California at Santa Cruz '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.04 (fleet 1.43) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–14 (7%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 1–14 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 1–14 against 1.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-25 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 0.72 | 0.35 | 1–14 | 1.3 | −0.37 | 0.1 | 79% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh/Soph | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.6 | 2.48 |
| Stoney Burke Co-Ed Varsity | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.2 | 1.07 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 7% | — |
| Kiara Broudy Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 5 | 3.8 | 0.85 |
| Jeff Simon Memorial - Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.9 | 1.29 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh/Soph | Skipper | B | 9 | 6.3 | 1.07 |
| Stoney Burke Women's Varsity Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.2 | -0.30 |
| Fall PCC JV | Skipper | B | 5 | 5.8 | 1.37 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Summer Drake |  Los Alamitos High School |
'22 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
