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Fall PCC JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 10 6 16
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 7 20 27
3 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 34 20 54
4 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 31 29 60
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 38 32 70
6 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 51 23 74
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 41 43 84
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 41 74 115
9 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 66 51 117
10 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 35 87 122
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 79 52 131
12 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 70 69 139
13 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 82 66 148
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 82 68 150
15 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 59 104 163
16 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 75 91 166
17 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 70 100 170
18 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 80 95 175
19 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 106 71 177
20 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 81 112 193
21 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 118 77 195
22 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 110 85 195
23 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 98 104 202
24 Broncos Broncos Broncos 93 MRP 113 MRP 206 MRP
25 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 97 112 209
26 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 128 116 244
27 Anteaters Anteaters Anteaters 150 MRP 132 MRP 282 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 1 1 1 7 Jasper Reid '25
Mia Kotelec '25
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 1 4 2 2 10 Kyle Farmer '26
Logan Chapman '26
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 3 7 10 3 8 31 Jonas Holdenried '26
Eliza Murrell '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 4 6 2 10 12 34 Amanda Brooks '23
Nina Folz '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 6 3 7 12 7 35 Jack Zemke '25
Hunter Holguin '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 5 3 8 13 38 Wilton Lawton '26
Fiona Wu '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 7 9 18 4 3 41 Jack Kisling '25 [1-3]
Florence Duff '25 [4-5]
Gabriel Gargiulo '25 [1-3]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 17 4 8 6 6 41 Zack Taylor '23
Aidan Araoz '25
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 8 14 5 20 4 51 Miles Kirkbride '26
Jackson Mckinley '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 12 8 13 15 11 59 Jonah Brees '23 [1-5]
Cirrus Baradaran '23 [1-3]
Stephanie Ng '26 [4-5]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 16 22 9 9 10 66 Zhonghan Yang '25 [1-5]
Lauren Wesling '24 [1-3]
Benjamin Lee '23 [4-5]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 11 11 11 16 21 70 Gavin Hirz '26
Emily Broach '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 18 10 12 13 17 70 Xinyu Zhou '23
Kenya Ochoa '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 20 18 6 17 14 75 Macy Rowe '23 [1-5]
Alyssa Shadduck '23 [1-3]
Daniel Gates '26 [4-5]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 13 13 21 23 9 79 Tobie Bloom '23
Mia Bullaro '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 21 17 16 11 15 80 Ian Johnston '25
Pierce Brownstone '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 14 16 15 18 18 81 Jonathan Hickey '23
Rylee Hickey '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 15 15 17 19 16 82 Andrew Keller '23
Tean Brooks '24
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 23 12 14 14 19 82 Blake Grossman '26
Paige Karsten '26
Broncos Broncos Broncos 5 DNF DNS 7 5 93 MRP
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 10 20 23 24 20 97 Sean Kenealy '25
Gillian Cate '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 22 24 24 5 23 98 Katherine Smith '24 [1-5]
Neomi Goodman '24 [1-3]
Jasmijn Hoefman '23 [4-5]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 19 19 20 22 26 106 Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-5]
Colin Thompson '25 [1-3]
Sarah Duncan '24 [4-5]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 25 21 19 21 24 110 John Gallagher '24
Bailey Wallace '26
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 24 25 22 25 22 118 Oscar Rios '23 [1-5]
Luke Osborne '28 [1-3]
Tabathia Phillips '25 [4-5]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 26 23 26 26 27 128 Zach Doe '24
Carsten Hoeke '24
Anteaters Anteaters Anteaters 27 26 25 27 25 150 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 1 1 1 2 6 Cyrus Khaleeli '24
Cianna Coyle '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 2 4 4 4 6 20 Sebastien Franck '23
Stella Potter '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 7 5 2 3 3 20 Daniel Erisman '25
Rahul Sankar '23
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 3 7 6 4 23 Eleanor Desai '23
Liam Hoole '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 4 8 14 2 1 29 Summer Drake '26
Devon Baker-Berry '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 11 3 8 5 32 Adrien Stroumza '23
Sophia Jacobs '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 6 2 5 10 20 43 Jacob Matiyevsky '23
Nitsa Thotz '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 11 9 6 13 12 51 Melody Quevedo '23
Maxine Kim '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 10 7 11 7 17 52 Audra Spokas-Jaros '25
Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza '25
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 12 12 17 11 14 66 Adeline Spencer '25
Ryan Giorgianni '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 20 22 10 5 11 68 Logan Lavine '23
Laurence Mach '24
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 16 20 12 14 7 69 Samson Grunwald '23
Kenan Thomas '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 8 18 9 20 16 71 Robert Bloomfield '26 [1-3]
Walden Hillegass '23 [4-5]
Dylan Tran '24 [1-3]
Leah Oleksik '26 [4-5]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 9 6 8 23 DNF 74 Samuel Groom '24 [1-3]
Ximena Greatorex '25 [4-5]
Emily Yong '25 [1-3]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 22 19 19 9 8 77 Brooke Rodgers '23 [1-3]
Liam Moran '24 [4-5]
Soren Folgate '28 [1-3]
Kitana Barrus '22 [4-5]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 15 24 16 15 15 85 Deven Douglas '22 [1-5]
Greg Griffin '26 [1-3]
Lily Christie '26 [4-5]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 14 16 13 16 DNF 87 Connor Fagan '26 [1-5]
Irene Abfalterer '25 [1-3]
Jonathan Baker '25 [4-5]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 13 10 15 25 DNF 91 Alexis Di Stefano '25 [1-5]
Teresa Nelson '24 [1-3]
Dylan Tran '24 [4-5]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 26 14 20 26 9 95 Natasha Chiotis '24
Sabina Jozwik '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 19 25 23 12 21 100 Hayden Shaw '25
Patrick Gardiner '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 17 23 27 19 18 104 Tyler Perkins '26
Liam Williams '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 27 26 21 17 13 104 Bryson Dort '23 [1-5]
Rony Zoghbi '23 [1-3]
Juliette Lecocq '24 [4-5]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 23 21 18 22 DNF 112 Cassie Halaszynski '25
Alexis Gregorie '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 25 13 22 24 DNF 112 William Bailly '26
Stian Klype '22
Broncos Broncos Broncos 21 15 26 21 10 113 MRP
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 18 17 25 DNS DNS 116 Ryan Mccrystal '25
Aron Mcconnell '23
Anteaters Anteaters Anteaters 24 27 24 18 19 132 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 1139139139139139
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 2140140140140140
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears123123123123123
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 144444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3318318318318318
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins110110110110110
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1313131313
BroncosBroncos Broncos88888
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans137137137137137
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848
AnteatersAnteaters Anteaters77777
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1282282282282282
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 32727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 422222
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2291291291291291
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3729729729729729
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 42929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 5295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 6301301301301301
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos311311311311311
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 13333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2133133133133133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 1139139139139139
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 2140140140140140
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears123123123123123
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 144444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3318318318318318
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins110110110110110
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1313131313
BroncosBroncos Broncos88888
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans137137137137137
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848
AnteatersAnteaters Anteaters77777
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1282282282282282
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 32727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 422222
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2291291291291291
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3729729729729729
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 42929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 5295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 6301301301301301
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos311311311311311
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 13333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2133133133133133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Gavin Hirz '26 Emily Broach '25
Sun Devils 1 Hayden Shaw '25 Patrick Gardiner '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sean Kenealy '25 Gillian Cate '25
Sun Devils 2 William Bailly '26 Stian Klype '22
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Jack Kisling '25 [1-3]
Florence Duff '25 [4-5]		 Gabriel Gargiulo '25 [1-3]
Mustangs 1 Samuel Groom '24 [1-3]
Ximena Greatorex '25 [4-5]		 Emily Yong '25 [1-3]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Macy Rowe '23 [1-5] Alyssa Shadduck '23 [1-3]
Daniel Gates '26 [4-5]
Mustangs 2 Alexis Di Stefano '25 [1-5] Teresa Nelson '24 [1-3]
Dylan Tran '24 [4-5]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-5] Colin Thompson '25 [1-3]
Sarah Duncan '24 [4-5]
Mustangs 3 Robert Bloomfield '26 [1-3]
Walden Hillegass '23 [4-5]		 Dylan Tran '24 [1-3]
Leah Oleksik '26 [4-5]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Kyle Farmer '26 Logan Chapman '26
Keelhaulers Cyrus Khaleeli '24 Cianna Coyle '26
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Oscar Rios '23 [1-5] Luke Osborne '28 [1-3]
Tabathia Phillips '25 [4-5]
Dolphins Brooke Rodgers '23 [1-3]
Liam Moran '24 [4-5]		 Soren Folgate '28 [1-3]
Kitana Barrus '22 [4-5]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Blake Grossman '26 Paige Karsten '26
Aztecs Adeline Spencer '25 Ryan Giorgianni '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Wilton Lawton '26 Fiona Wu '25
Bears Adrien Stroumza '23 Sophia Jacobs '23
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jonah Brees '23 [1-5] Cirrus Baradaran '23 [1-3]
Stephanie Ng '26 [4-5]
Aggies 1 Bryson Dort '23 [1-5] Rony Zoghbi '23 [1-3]
Juliette Lecocq '24 [4-5]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Zhonghan Yang '25 [1-5] Lauren Wesling '24 [1-3]
Benjamin Lee '23 [4-5]
Aggies 2 Melody Quevedo '23 Maxine Kim '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Zack Taylor '23 Aidan Araoz '25
Bruins 1 Jacob Matiyevsky '23 Nitsa Thotz '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Xinyu Zhou '23 Kenya Ochoa '23
Bruins 2 Samson Grunwald '23 Kenan Thomas '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles John Gallagher '24 Bailey Wallace '26
Bruins 3 Deven Douglas '22 [1-5] Greg Griffin '26 [1-3]
Lily Christie '26 [4-5]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Katherine Smith '24 [1-5] Neomi Goodman '24 [1-3]
Jasmijn Hoefman '23 [4-5]
Bruins 4 Tyler Perkins '26 Liam Williams '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Amanda Brooks '23 Nina Folz '23
Tritons 1 Sebastien Franck '23 Stella Potter '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tobie Bloom '23 Mia Bullaro '25
Tritons 2 Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Zach Doe '24 Carsten Hoeke '24
Tritons 3 Ryan Mccrystal '25 Aron Mcconnell '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Andrew Keller '23 Tean Brooks '24
Tritons 4 Logan Lavine '23 Laurence Mach '24
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Ian Johnston '25 Pierce Brownstone '25
Tritons 5 Natasha Chiotis '24 Sabina Jozwik '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Jonathan Hickey '23 Rylee Hickey '25
Tritons 6 Cassie Halaszynski '25 Alexis Gregorie '25
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Jasper Reid '25 Mia Kotelec '25
Gauchos Daniel Erisman '25 Rahul Sankar '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Jack Zemke '25 Hunter Holguin '25
Banana Slugs 1 Connor Fagan '26 [1-5] Irene Abfalterer '25 [1-3]
Jonathan Baker '25 [4-5]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Jonas Holdenried '26 Eliza Murrell '26
Banana Slugs 2 Summer Drake '26 Devon Baker-Berry '26
University of Southern California University of Southern California Miles Kirkbride '26 Jackson Mckinley '26
Trojans Eleanor Desai '23 Liam Hoole '25

Conditions — 11/12/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 4.1 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From S (178°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1017.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn · E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →