California Maritime Academy '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.72 (fleet 2.37) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–8 (47%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 7–8 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 7–8 against 6.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-25 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 1.63 | 1.89 | 7–8 | 6.6 | +0.26 | 0.1 | 55% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Top-9 Open | Skipper | A | 3 | 13.7 | — |
| St. Francis Invitational- North Semis | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.0 | 2.27 |
| PCCSC South Designate Semis | Skipper | B | 11 | 4.7 | 2.46 |
| Pacific Coast Open Fleet Race Championships | Skipper | B | 14 | 8.7 | 1.54 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 47% | — |
| Keelhauler Open | Skipper | A | 13 | 2.2 | 2.56 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh/Soph | Skipper | A | 9 | 1.4 | — |
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | A | 10 | 1.4 | 4.00 |
| Fall PCC JV | Skipper | A | 5 | 2.0 | 3.78 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
