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St. Francis Invitational- North Semis

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 13 16 29
2 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 19 18 37
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 43 15 58
4 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 42 39 81
5 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 44 41 85
6 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 58 37 95
7 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 44 69 113
8 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 77 54 131
9 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 74 57 131
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 68 71 139
11 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 58 83 141
12 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 72 70 142
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 87 81 168
14 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 76 MRP 125 MRP 201 MRP
15 Broncos Broncos Broncos 107 MRP 116 MRP 223 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 13 Erik Anderson '26
Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 4 1 1 6 3 3 19 Grant Janov '25
Teresa Dang '24
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 8 13 6 4 5 4 2 42 Kyle Farmer '26
Logan Chapman '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 1 14 7 1 5 5 43 Jonathan Seawards '26
Thomas Erisman '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 5 9 6 3 12 6 44 Noah Barton '23
Drake Coy '23
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 11 7 5 4 8 4 44 Morgana Manti '26
Ryan Mccarthy '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 6 3 5 8 8 15 13 58 Benjamin Luu '26
Henry Stier '23
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 9 10 12 9 7 2 9 58 Aidan Boylan '24
Noah Lovelace '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 6 11 12 11 9 15 68 Max Case '24
Mira Shupe '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 7 7 10 11 12 11 14 72 Nate Ingebritson '25 [1-4]
Luc Lamontagne '22 [5-7]
Ethan Lisle '25 [1-4]
Jessica Stewart '23 [5-7]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 15 9 3 10 13 13 11 74 Sean Von Engelbrechten '23
Blossom Jee '25
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 14 8 4 2 14 6 8 76 MRP
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 12 14 8 13 9 14 7 77 George Soliman '24
Hunter Holguin '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 13 15 13 14 10 10 12 87 Dalton Lovett '25
Caroline Hurley '25
Broncos Broncos Broncos 11 12 DNS DNS 15 7 10 107 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 15 Ted Mcdonough '26
Jasper Reid '25
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 2 1 4 4 1 1 16 Mercy Tangredi '25
Sophia Shaeffer '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 1 3 1 1 7 4 18 Marianna Shand '24
Emma Worthington '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 5 4 3 10 5 5 37 Erin Pamplin '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Maxwell Miller '25 [3-4, 7]
Maya Outhred '24 [1-6]
Erin Pamplin '24 [7]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 39 Maxwell Roth '24
Christopher Shintani '25
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 4 8 9 9 4 3 41 Marlo Bozza '25
John Hutchison '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 8 7 9 8 3 10 9 54 Colin Olson '26 [1-4]
Blake Roberts '25 [5-7]
Lucas Elliott '25 [1-4]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 11 12 7 5 8 8 6 57 Braedon Hansen '25
Jonah Brees '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 9 9 DNS DNS 5 6 8 69 Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-4]
Gabriel Reuter '23 [5-7]
Stella Potter '26 [1-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 13 8 6 10 12 11 10 70 Adrien Stroumza '23 [1-7]
Sophia Jacobs '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [3-4, 7]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 14 11 11 7 7 9 12 71 Florence Duff '25
Colin Thompson '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 14 12 11 11 13 13 81 Anna Morrow '25
Matthew Lindburg '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 12 13 10 12 13 12 11 83 Mitchell Powers '25
Jaquelyn Quintana '25
Broncos Broncos Broncos 10 10 DNS DNS 15 15 14 116 MRP
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 15 15 DNS DNS 14 14 15 125 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils39393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs3333333
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535353535
BroncosBroncos Broncos19191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737373737
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs33333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878787878787

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils39393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs3333333
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535353535
BroncosBroncos Broncos19191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737373737
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs33333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878787878787
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Aidan Boylan '24 Noah Lovelace '25
Sun Devils Mitchell Powers '25 Jaquelyn Quintana '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Max Case '24 Mira Shupe '26
Mustangs Florence Duff '25 Colin Thompson '25
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Kyle Farmer '26 Logan Chapman '26
Keelhaulers Maxwell Roth '24 Christopher Shintani '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Nate Ingebritson '25 [1-4]
Luc Lamontagne '22 [5-7]		 Ethan Lisle '25 [1-4]
Jessica Stewart '23 [5-7]
Bears Adrien Stroumza '23 [1-7] Sophia Jacobs '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [3-4, 7]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Sean Von Engelbrechten '23 Blossom Jee '25
Aggies Braedon Hansen '25 Jonah Brees '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Grant Janov '25 Teresa Dang '24
Bruins Marianna Shand '24 Emma Worthington '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Noah Barton '23 Drake Coy '23
Tritons Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-4]
Gabriel Reuter '23 [5-7]		 Stella Potter '26 [1-4]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Jonathan Seawards '26 Thomas Erisman '26
Gauchos Ted Mcdonough '26 Jasper Reid '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz George Soliman '24 Hunter Holguin '25
Banana Slugs Colin Olson '26 [1-4]
Blake Roberts '25 [5-7]		 Lucas Elliott '25 [1-4]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Erik Anderson '26 Frances Tarpey-Schwed '23
Rainbows Mercy Tangredi '25 Sophia Shaeffer '25
University of Southern California University of Southern California Morgana Manti '26 Ryan Mccarthy '23
Trojans Marlo Bozza '25 John Hutchison '23
University of Washington University of Washington Benjamin Luu '26 Henry Stier '23
Huskies Erin Pamplin '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Maxwell Miller '25 [3-4, 7]		 Maya Outhred '24 [1-6]
Erin Pamplin '24 [7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Dalton Lovett '25 Caroline Hurley '25
Vikings Anna Morrow '25 Matthew Lindburg '25

Conditions — 03/11/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From E (84°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine2.3 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1014.7 hPa Rain0.11 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cal Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Cal Maritime: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →