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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 5 7 12
2 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 13 13 26
3 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 16 22 38
4 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 24 29 53
5 Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 29 28 57
6 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 27 30 57
7 American University American University Eagles 31 32 63
8 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 45 24 69
9 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 36 46 82
10 Gannon University Gannon University Knights 55 55 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 1 1 1 1 5 Brian Fox '23
Sebastian Beavers '26
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 3 2 3 2 13 Andrew Montague '25
Katie Yost '26
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 4 2 5 2 3 16 Constantyn Van Der Voort '23 [1-5]
Gabrielle Buffaloe '23 [1-2, 5]
Megan Clower '23 [3-4]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 4 BKD 6 4 24 Jared Cohen '25 [1-5]
Charlie Bullock '25 [1-4]
Umd Test '25 [5]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 6 5 3 5 8 27 Aidan Young '24 [1-4]
Sam Springer '24 [5]
Sam Springer '24 [1-4]
Aidan Young '24 [5]
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 2 6 4 8 9 29 Anthony Farrar '26 [1-5]
Benita Bowden '25 [1-2, 5]
Tyler Plunko '23 [3-4]
American University American University Eagles 7 8 6 4 6 31 Anika Liner '25 [1-5]
Julia Kane '25 [1-4]
Ella Napolitano '26 [5]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 8 7 7 9 5 36 Benedict Gorman '25 [1-5]
Margaret Kelly '23 [1-4]
Faith Dickerson '25 [5]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers DNS 9 DNS 7 7 45 Henry Powell '26 [1-2, 5]
John Carty '21 [3-4]
Vaughan Hood '24 [1-2, 5]
Gannon University Gannon University Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 55 Dima Murtada '23
James Shewan '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 2 1 2 1 7 Joshua Bendura '26
Gail Schneider '25
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 4 3 2 1 3 13 Marco Centanaro Garcia '23 [1-4]
Maxwell Penders '25 [5]
Lauren Laughlin '23 [1-4]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 2 1 9 8 2 22 Nathan Whisner '23 [1-2, 5]
Levi Nathans '23 [3-4]
Maddie Sharpe '23 [1-2, 5]
Nathan Whisner '23 [3-4]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 8 6 3 3 4 24 Zachary Vance '23
Hunter Sugg '23
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 3 4 8 5 8 28 Bryce Nill '26
Chandler Debarros '24
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 5 5 7 7 29 Eric Garvey '23 [1-5]
Maia Brydon '23 [1-2]
Sage Leone '23 [3-5]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 6 7 6 6 5 30 Malik Deslauriers '24
Maya Moschallski '25
American University American University Eagles 7 8 4 4 9 32 Ryan Curtis '26 [1-4]
Thomas Clauson '26 [5]
Thomas Clauson '26 [1-2]
Noelle Maccallum '26 [3-4]
Sarah Sajadi '25 [5]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals DNS DNS 7 DNS 6 46 Caroline Grogan '26
John Paul Abela '26
Gannon University Gannon University Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 55 Luca Hokaj '24
Edwin Lopez '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11665
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals22446
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains33557
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights44111111
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps668310
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers77991
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions55779
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos8810102
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies99113
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1010224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles22446
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals33557
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains44663
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights55111111
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps77991
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers8810102
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions663310
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos99119
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1010224
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe11775
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Anika Liner '25 [1-5] Julia Kane '25 [1-4]
Ella Napolitano '26 [5]
Eagles Ryan Curtis '26 [1-4]
Thomas Clauson '26 [5]
Thomas Clauson '26 [1-2]
Noelle Maccallum '26 [3-4]
Sarah Sajadi '25 [5]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Benedict Gorman '25 [1-5] Margaret Kelly '23 [1-4]
Faith Dickerson '25 [5]
Cardinals Caroline Grogan '26 John Paul Abela '26
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Brian Fox '23 Sebastian Beavers '26
Captains Joshua Bendura '26 Gail Schneider '25
Gannon University Gannon University Dima Murtada '23 James Shewan '24
Knights Luca Hokaj '24 Edwin Lopez '23
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Anthony Farrar '26 [1-5] Benita Bowden '25 [1-2, 5]
Tyler Plunko '23 [3-4]
Sea Lions Bryce Nill '26 Chandler Debarros '24
University of Maryland University of Maryland Jared Cohen '25 [1-5] Charlie Bullock '25 [1-4]
Umd Test '25 [5]
Terps Eric Garvey '23 [1-5] Maia Brydon '23 [1-2]
Sage Leone '23 [3-5]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Henry Powell '26 [1-2, 5]
John Carty '21 [3-4]
Vaughan Hood '24 [1-2, 5]
Retrievers Zachary Vance '23 Hunter Sugg '23
University of Virginia University of Virginia Andrew Montague '25 Katie Yost '26
Wahoos Marco Centanaro Garcia '23 [1-4]
Maxwell Penders '25 [5]
Lauren Laughlin '23 [1-4]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Aidan Young '24 [1-4]
Sam Springer '24 [5]
Sam Springer '24 [1-4]
Aidan Young '24 [5]
Hokies Malik Deslauriers '24 Maya Moschallski '25
William and Mary William and Mary Constantyn Van Der Voort '23 [1-5] Gabrielle Buffaloe '23 [1-2, 5]
Megan Clower '23 [3-4]
Tribe Nathan Whisner '23 [1-2, 5]
Levi Nathans '23 [3-4]
Maddie Sharpe '23 [1-2, 5]
Nathan Whisner '23 [3-4]

Conditions — 04/01/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1004.1 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.8 kn
avg  ·  max 18.4 kn
Gusts to 42.4 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine4.2 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1004.1 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 16 kn · NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at William and Mary: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at William and Mary by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at William and Mary, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →