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Cactus Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 3 13 7 20
2 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 18 17 35
3 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 16 38 54
4 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 31 28 59
5 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 31 30 61
6 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 47 37 84
7 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 40 49 89
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 47 57 104
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 63 42 105
10 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 51 58 109
11 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 53 57 110
12 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 60 71 131
13 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 77 57 134
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 81 79 160
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 3 2 4 1 1 2 3 13 Aidan Boylan '24
Noah Lovelace '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 1 2 2 7 BYE 1 16 Marianna Shand '24
Linnea Jackson '25
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 5 3 5 2 1 2 18 Sterling Maggard '27
Adalia Jimenez '25
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 3 7 10 4 3 4 31 Adam Leddy '25
Kean Kennedy '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 6 1 7 6 4 7 31 David Garcia '24 [1-6]
Vienna Lopez '27 [1-3]
Caden Domingo '27 [4-6]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 4 5 11 3 9 8 40 Juan Casal '27 [1-3]
Mason Norwood '26 [4-6]
Kyla Coubrough '24 [1-3]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 7 6 4 9 6 DSQ 47 Andrew Down '27
Christopher Moore '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 8 8 3 DNF 7 6 47 Sean Lipps '24
Johnathan Garcia '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 10 11 6 10 5 9 51 Emma Feasey '25
Valentina Garcia '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 11 10 9 8 10 5 53 Orion Spatafora '25 [1-6]
Kenan Thomas '26 [1-3]
Phineas Fritsch '27 [4-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 9 9 8 11 13 10 60 Liam Williams '26
Greg Griffin '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 13 13 13 5 8 11 63
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 14 14 14 12 11 12 77 Kurt Richards '25 [1-6]
Kevin Gates '27 [1-4, 6]
Miles O’Brien '26 [5]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 12 12 12 DNF DNS DNS 81 Bella Valente '24
Anna Potapenko '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Mitchell Powers '25
Jaquelyn Quintana '25
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1 3 2 3 3 4 2 17 Brandon Stadtherr '24
Seraphee De Labaca '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 4 3 1 6 9 5 28 Nikita Swatek '25
Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 5 4 5 10 4 30 Hunter Holguin '25
Sophia Preston '27
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 5 7 5 8 3 9 37 Camden Wacha '27
Gillian Cate '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 8 8 7 4 5 BYE 38 Teresa Dang '24
Nitsa Thotz '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 7 13 DNS 2 2 3 42
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 10 6 10 7 8 8 49 Matthew Prendiville '25
Elias Ricken '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 6 DNF 9 14 6 BYE 57 Maria Gunness '25
Elsa Engesser '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 11 10 6 12 12 6 57 Aidan Araoz '25
Jonah Sullivan '25
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 12 9 8 11 7 10 57 Brent Lin '24 [1-6]
Natalia Uribe '24 [1-2, 4-6]
Vaughn Russell '28 [3]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 9 4 11 10 13 11 58 Matthew Stank '27
Thu Vo '24
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 14 12 13 9 11 12 71 Aki Schuessler-Langeheine '24 [1-6]
Esperance De Lattre '26 [1-3]
Aleksander Briones '24 [4-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 13 11 12 13 DNS DNS 79 Grace Richie '24
Liza Churkov '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 1404040404040
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 2139139139139139139
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 3140140140140140140
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1110110110110110110
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2109109109109109109
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 1252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 2262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2282282282282282282
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3291291291291291291
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 1404040404040
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 2139139139139139139
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 3140140140140140140
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 1110110110110110110
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2109109109109109109
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 1252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 2262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2282282282282282282
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3291291291291291291
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Andrew Down '27 Christopher Moore '26
Sun Devils 1 Camden Wacha '27 Gillian Cate '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Juan Casal '27 [1-3]
Mason Norwood '26 [4-6]		 Kyla Coubrough '24 [1-3]
Sun Devils 2 Matthew Prendiville '25 Elias Ricken '27
Arizona State University Arizona State University Aidan Boylan '24 Noah Lovelace '25
Sun Devils 3 Mitchell Powers '25 Jaquelyn Quintana '25
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Sterling Maggard '27 Adalia Jimenez '25
Dolphins 1 Brandon Stadtherr '24 Seraphee De Labaca '26
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Kurt Richards '25 [1-6] Kevin Gates '27 [1-4, 6]
Miles O’Brien '26 [5]
Dolphins 2 Brent Lin '24 [1-6] Natalia Uribe '24 [1-2, 4-6]
Vaughn Russell '28 [3]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Adam Leddy '25 Kean Kennedy '25
Anteaters 1 Nikita Swatek '25 Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Emma Feasey '25 Valentina Garcia '26
Anteaters 2 Matthew Stank '27 Thu Vo '24
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Marianna Shand '24 Linnea Jackson '25
Bruins 1 Teresa Dang '24 Nitsa Thotz '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Liam Williams '26 Greg Griffin '26
Bruins 2 Aki Schuessler-Langeheine '24 [1-6] Esperance De Lattre '26 [1-3]
Aleksander Briones '24 [4-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Orion Spatafora '25 [1-6] Kenan Thomas '26 [1-3]
Phineas Fritsch '27 [4-6]
Bruins 3 Aidan Araoz '25 Jonah Sullivan '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sean Lipps '24 Johnathan Garcia '26
Tritons 1 Maria Gunness '25 Elsa Engesser '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Bella Valente '24 Anna Potapenko '24
Tritons 2 Grace Richie '24 Liza Churkov '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz David Garcia '24 [1-6] Vienna Lopez '27 [1-3]
Caden Domingo '27 [4-6]
Banana Slugs Hunter Holguin '25 Sophia Preston '27

Conditions — 03/02/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 31%  ·  Pressure 1013.8 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity31% Pressure1013.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn · SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Arizona State: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Arizona State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Arizona State: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →