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SAISA Spring Women's Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 66
2 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 72
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 92
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 134
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 135
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 204
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 1 2 1 6 1 1 1 1 1 15 Fiona Froelich '28
Lauren Turner '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 3 1 2 1 2 2 5 3 3 22 Marina Dreyfuss '27 [1-9]
Madisen Hamai '26 [1-3, 7-9]
Aicha Smati '27 [4-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 2 6 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 33 Julia Scott '27
Jane Mckenzie '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 4 3 3 2 4 4 6 7 6 39 Ka Hamner '26
Angelina Khourisader '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 5 4 5 4 6 10 3 2 7 46 Lily Schwartz '25
Eloise Weiss '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 7 7 7 5 7 6 2 5 5 51 Ella Lansford '27
Elizabeth Williamson '26
University of Florida University of Florida Gators A 11 8 6 8 8 5 7 6 8 67 Ava Moring '25
Sierra Warnygora '27
University of Florida University of Florida Gators B 8 5 9 10 10 8 8 8 2 68 Natalie Ryder '27
Madeline Washburn '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 6 9 8 7 5 7 9 10 9 70 Catherine Brennan '26
Ochithya Fernando '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 9 10 DNF 9 9 9 10 9 10 88 Sophie Leduc '26
Tess Levanway '26
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 10 11 11 12 11 12 11 11 11 100 Kallista Halatsis '27
Carly Sweeney '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 12 12 10 11 12 11 12 12 12 104 Olivia Figley '26
Sophia Gallo '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111222333
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators555666777
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles222333444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins333444555
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars444555666
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls666777888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons777888999
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators171717181818111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles888999101010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins999101010171717
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars101010171717181818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181818111222

Conditions — 03/24/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.0 kn
avg  ·  max 16.2 kn
Gusts to 29.0 kn
From NNE (30°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1013.0 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rollins: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.60 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →