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Duke Spring Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 16
2 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 27
3 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 30
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 41
5 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 1 4 2 7 Marc Hauenstein '27
Julia Boutet '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils A 4 1 3 8 Kay Lyon '27
Debbie Spam '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 6 2 1 9 Lyla Solway '28 [1]
Evelyn Hannah '28 [2-3]
Anneliese Farner '28 [1]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels A 2 5 7 14 May Proctor '27 [1-3]
Heidi Dittus '27 [1]
No Show [2-3]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels B 5 7 4 16 Emma Gumny '28
No Show
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks B 9 3 6 18 Tonya Hakim '25
Rebecca Koch '25
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils B 8 6 5 19 William Robertson '25
Jake Tirado '27
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks A 7 8 8 23 Ben Kearney '26
No Show
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores A 3 DNF DNF 25 Mira Singh '26
Cameron Johnson '28
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores B 10 DNS DNF 32 Tiffany Ngigi '26
Esha Rashid '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils111
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack222
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks444
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores555

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils666
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks999
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores101010

Conditions — 02/23/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 31°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From NNW (344°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1022.9 hPa

What this breeze does at Duke — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Duke in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Duke by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Duke, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →