Navigate

SAISA North Spring Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 15 12 27
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 25 13 38
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 21 26 47
4 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 28 30 58
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 29 39 68
6 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 42 34 76
7 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 59 26 85
8 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 46 47 93
9 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 42 60 102
10 Clemson University Clemson University Orange 48 58 106
11 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 63 67 130
12 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 59 82 141
13 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Beach 78 74 152
14 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 78 77 155
15 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 93 85 178
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 4 1 5 1 2 15 Charles Mckenzie '25
Andrea Melnik '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 2 3 6 2 3 21 Jacob Usher '25
Shea Hoffacker '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 1 OCS 2 1 4 1 25 Kevin Gosselin '27
Sean Harris '25
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 6 7 2 5 4 28 Andrew Tollefson '26 [1-6]
Alana Hantz '27 [1-3]
Preston Cyr '27 [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 1 5 3 7 10 29 Andrew Simpson '27
Evelyn Earnahrdt '25
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 6 3 4 13 10 6 42 Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26
John Cole Mcgee '26
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 8 12 6 4 3 9 42 Andrew Ettlemyer '27
Willow King '27
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 5 10 8 6 8 46 William Avery '27
Meghan Radzik '27
Clemson University Clemson University Orange 7 7 8 10 11 5 48 Charlie Bergendahl '28
Brendan Tunkel '27
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 10 8 11 9 9 12 59 May Proctor '27 [1-6]
Megan Miller '26 [1-3]
Caden Kavanaugh '26 [4-6]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 11 10 12 11 8 7 59 Ian Hoogenboom '25
Jaime Bell '28
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 12 9 9 7 13 13 63 Oliver Sobering '27
Jack Whittemore '27
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 13 13 14 12 12 14 78 Tonya Hakim '25 [1-6]
Emma Frank '25 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Beach 15 11 13 14 14 11 78 Julia Morash '27 [1-6]
Ben Kearney '26 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 14 OCS 15 DNS DNS DNS 93 Kyle Shrewsbury '25
Katharine Bryan '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 2 1 2 3 2 12 Harrison Thomson '26
Grace Beard '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 1 5 3 1 2 1 13 Annika Milstien '25
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 6 2 5 5 3 26 Ryan Ringel '25
James Kelly '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 1 5 4 1 4 26 Ryan Brelage '28
Evelyn Hannah '28
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 3 6 7 4 6 30 Camden Hom '26 [1-6]
Preston Cyr '27 [1-3]
Alana Hantz '27 [4-6]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 3 8 9 3 6 5 34 Kathleen Hale '26 [1-6]
Sarina Schmoyer '27 [1-3]
John Cole Mcgee '26 [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 6 4 4 9 8 8 39 Abbi Barnette '26
No Show
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 10 7 7 6 10 7 47 Matthew Laufer '27
Connor Witt '25
Clemson University Clemson University Orange 13 10 10 8 7 10 58 Myah Frashier '28
Sydney Demers '27
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 9 12 8 10 12 9 60 Tyler Williams '26
Ian De Jesus '27
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 9 14 12 11 14 67 Bales Brannon '28
Macguire Reilley '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Beach 12 OCS 11 11 13 11 74 Caswell Kern '26 [1-6]
Carley Yount '25 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 8 OCS 13 13 14 13 77 Sam Woodley '26 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
No Show [1-3]
Sam Woodley '26 [4-6]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams OCS OCS 15 14 9 12 82 Runyon Tyler '26
Eli Perl '25
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 14 11 12 DNS DNS DNS 85 Katy Woo '28
Luke Ritchie '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars333555
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs777999
Clemson UniversityClemson University Orange222444
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111333
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils444666
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs888101010
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Rams101010121212
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels999111111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror666888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555777
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks141414111
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers151515222
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks111111131313
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Beach131313151515
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub121212141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars444666
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs888101010
Clemson UniversityClemson University Orange333555
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222444
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils555777
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs999111111
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Rams111111131313
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels101010121212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror777999
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack666888
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks151515222
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers111333
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks121212141414
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Beach141414111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub131313151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clemson University Clemson University Charlie Bergendahl '28 Brendan Tunkel '27
Orange Myah Frashier '28 Sydney Demers '27
Clemson University Clemson University William Avery '27 Meghan Radzik '27
Tigers Matthew Laufer '27 Connor Witt '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Charles Mckenzie '25 Andrea Melnik '27
Cougars Harrison Thomson '26 Grace Beard '25
Duke University Duke University Ian Hoogenboom '25 Jaime Bell '28
Blue Devils Ryan Ringel '25 James Kelly '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Kevin Gosselin '27 Sean Harris '25
Red Terror Annika Milstien '25 Jane Caroline Minchew '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Jacob Usher '25 Shea Hoffacker '27
Wolfpack Ryan Brelage '28 Evelyn Hannah '28
The Citadel The Citadel Andrew Tollefson '26 [1-6] Alana Hantz '27 [1-3]
Preston Cyr '27 [4-6]
Bulldogs Camden Hom '26 [1-6] Preston Cyr '27 [1-3]
Alana Hantz '27 [4-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Oliver Sobering '27 Jack Whittemore '27
Bulldogs Bales Brannon '28 Macguire Reilley '26
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina May Proctor '27 [1-6] Megan Miller '26 [1-3]
Caden Kavanaugh '26 [4-6]
Rams Runyon Tyler '26 Eli Perl '25
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26 John Cole Mcgee '26
Tar Heels Kathleen Hale '26 [1-6] Sarina Schmoyer '27 [1-3]
John Cole Mcgee '26 [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Andrew Simpson '27 Evelyn Earnahrdt '25
Seahawks Abbi Barnette '26 No Show
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Julia Morash '27 [1-6] Ben Kearney '26 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
The Beach Caswell Kern '26 [1-6] Carley Yount '25 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Tonya Hakim '25 [1-6] Emma Frank '25 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
The Dub Sam Woodley '26 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]		 No Show [1-3]
Sam Woodley '26 [4-6]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Andrew Ettlemyer '27 Willow King '27
Gamecocks Tyler Williams '26 Ian De Jesus '27
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Kyle Shrewsbury '25 Katharine Bryan '27
Volunteers Katy Woo '28 Luke Ritchie '27

Conditions — 02/15/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1024.8 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.1 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From SE (143°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1024.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →