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Little 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 6 3 9
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 3 11 14
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 8 7 15
4 Williams College Williams College Ephs 6 12 18
5 Colby College Colby College Mules 1 11 8 19
6 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 9 11 20
7 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 13 13 26
8 Colby College Colby College Mules 2 19 11 30
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 18 15 33
10 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 17 19 36
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths11
Colby CollegeColby College Mules 122
Colby CollegeColby College Mules 233
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 166
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 277
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 144
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 255
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 188
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 299
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1010

Division B

Team1B2B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths22
Colby CollegeColby College Mules 133
Colby CollegeColby College Mules 244
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 177
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 288
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 155
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 266
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 199
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21010
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs11

Conditions — 04/25/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From WSW (246°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1017.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Middlebury: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.38 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Middlebury by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Middlebury, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →