Cal Poly University S.L.O. '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 (fleet 2.05) | 268 of 328 | +0.11 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 21–11 (66%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 4 | 21–11 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (32 matches) the record is 21–11 against 15.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+6.0). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 9 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.84 | 3.74 | 5–2 | 3.7 | +1.90 | 1.7 | 16% |
| 2026-04-04 | Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.84 | 3.99 | 8–3 | 3.5 | +2.15 | 7.2 | <1% |
| 2026-03-07 | Mustang Team Race | skipper | 1.77 | 0.99 | 5–1 | 5.5 | −0.79 | 0.3 | 92% |
| 2026-02-21 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 1.58 | 2.08 | 3–5 | 2.4 | +0.50 | 0.2 | 45% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| PCCSC South Designate 2026 | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.9 | 2.52 |
| Mustang Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 90% | — |
| Mustang Open | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.0 | 1.39 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 33% | — |
| Jeff Simon Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.4 | 1.26 |
| Charley Dole PCCSC Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.9 | 2.20 |
| Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Bryson Women's Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.0 | 0.23 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh/Soph | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.8 | 3.33 |
| Stoney Burke Women's Varsity Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 1.1 | 3.89 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.2 | 3.58 |
| 2026 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 5 | 13.8 | 2.18 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Marina Priskich |  St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
