Cal Poly University S.L.O. '21
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.06 (fleet -0.08) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–13 (7%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 0–4 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 1–9 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 1–13 against 1.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-08 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 0.22 | -2.78 | 0–4 | 0.1 | ≤−3.00 | 0.1 | >99% |
| 2019-02-09 | Cal Team Race | skipper | -0.02 | -1.05 | 1–9 | 1.8 | −1.03 | 0.6 | 93% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 6.1 | — |
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.5 | -0.20 |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 4 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | B | 11 | 10.5 | -0.14 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Francis Interconference | Skipper | B | 9 | 18.1 | -0.41 |
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.1 | 0.07 |
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.5 | 0.64 |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.8 | 0.30 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Champs - JV | Skipper | B | 9 | 13.8 | -0.48 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Mustang Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 24.0 | -0.38 |
| Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 26.5 | -1.34 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Millan Chaudhary |  Leigh High School |
'17 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
