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Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 73 46 119
2 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 91 46 137
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team 82 55 137
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 60 117 177
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 78 124 202
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 95 112 207
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 117 MRP 91 MRP 208 MRP
8 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 110 127 237
9 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 136 104 240
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 121 MRP 150 MRP 271 MRP
11 Hosei University Hosei University Orange 154 123 277
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 110 180 290
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 189 180 369
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 188 196 384
15 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 180 205 385
16 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 184 209 393
17 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 241 MRP 159 MRP 400 MRP
18 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 243 216 459
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 5 1 2 3 5 8 1 4 7 9 2 10 2 1 60 Mathew Butler '19 [1-14]
Jemma Baird '22 [1-6, 11-14]
Sophie Deming '20 [7-10]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 1 2 5 4 2 4 2 3 10 5 9 7 5 14 73 Michael Pacholski '19
Devon Stapleton '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 13 9 3 1 11 6 4 2 14 1 6 3 3 2 78 Leah Ford '19 [1-14]
Christopher Dinkel '21 [1-12]
Mary Jane Howland '22 [13-14]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team 7 6 9 7 10 2 3 1 1 11 3 12 6 4 82 Jennifer Killian '19
Madeline Lark '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 12 1 5 4 1 7 8 3 2 14 5 14 13 91 Drake Hayes '21
Avery Burke '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 4 3 10 10 3 12 14 10 2 3 10 1 1 12 95 Annika Garrett '19 [1-14]
Megan Lucas '20 [1-6, 9-14]
Megan Zamzow '19 [7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 9 8 11 2 1 9 11 9 5 6 8 17 7 7 110 Kai Ponting '23 [1-14]
Maddie Roman '20 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Robyn Zulauf '20 [3-4, 7-10, 13-14]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 12 5 8 11 9 7 6 11 9 4 5 8 4 11 110 Ciara Dorsay '21
Paris Sato '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 7 6 8 6 5 13 6 8 8 4 4 8 6 117 MRP Joey Lark '21 [1-8, 11-14]
Alex Bowdler '22 [9-10]
Peter Cronin '22 [1-10]
Caroline King '21 [11-14]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 3 11 7 12 8 3 5 12 6 10 1 2 11 10 121 MRP Alex Demmler '19
Sean Ward '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 6 10 4 6 12 11 9 14 13 15 11 9 13 3 136 Erik Skeel '20 [1-14]
Sarah Kahle '22 [1-12]
John Kauffman '22 [13-14]
Hosei University Hosei University Orange 11 4 12 14 16 13 10 13 4 7 12 11 10 17 154 Naru Ito '21 [1-14]
Fuyuka Morita '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Sotaro Hayami '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Taiyo Kuroishi '21 [5-6, 11-14]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 15 BKD 16 9 7 10 15 15 16 14 13 14 15 8 180 Andrew Clements '17
Olivia Feito '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 16 16 14 18 17 14 8 5 12 12 18 13 16 5 184 Hannah Stevens '22 [1-2, 9-10]
Steven Dieleman '20 [3-6, 11-14]
Colin Bishop '20 [7-8]
Marcus Hougaard '23 [1-4]
Colin Bishop '20 [5-6, 11-14]
Emma Reynolds '21 [7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 14 15 15 13 15 15 17 16 17 17 7 6 12 9 188 Daniel Vick '19 [1-10]
Erika Barth '16 [11-14]
Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20 [1-10]
Chieko Imai '20 [11-14]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 10 13 17 15 14 16 12 7 15 16 15 15 9 15 189 Chandler Sharp '19
Reilly Berkshire '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds DNF 14 13 16 13 17 16 18 11 18 16 16 18 16 241 MRP Benjamin Brown '22 [1-4, 7-12]
Kayden Polachek '22 [5-6, 13-14]
Lauren Wittkopf '22 [1-4, 7-12]
Erika Molby '21 [5-6, 13-14]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights DNF 17 18 17 18 18 18 17 18 13 17 18 17 18 243 Emily Rathburn '19
Adam Warner '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 1 7 BKD 1 5 4 9 4 1 1 3 1 3 3 46 Patrick Wilkinson '20 [1-14]
Danielle Ahir '20 [1-4, 7-14]
Shane Snow '20 [5-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 3 3 2 1 3 3 3 5 3 4 2 4 1 46 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Kylie Fawcett '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team 4 4 5 7 8 1 5 1 3 5 1 4 2 5 55 Grace Vincens '20
Jennifer Ryan '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 6 4 6 2 6 8 2 7 2 7 12 5 2 91 MRP Anthony Root '22 [1-8, 13-14]
Lucie Ford '20 [9-12]
Caroline Mcneil '22 [1-8]
Alexa Percell '20 [9-14]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 14 2 8 11 6 11 6 5 4 7 2 5 8 15 104 Hayden Potter '20 [1-14]
Elizabeth Murphy '22 [1-4, 7-14]
John Kauffman '22 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 8 12 9 5 13 9 2 16 6 4 5 10 9 4 112 Hayden Lahr '22
Paige Sullivan '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 5 8 7 3 10 5 4 8 10 8 11 11 11 16 117 Tanner Gee '22 [1-14]
Shelby Hastings '22 [1-4, 7-8, 11-14]
Isabelle Anderson '20 [5-6]
Cantlen Forni '19 [9-10]
Hosei University Hosei University Orange 3 18 2 12 12 8 10 14 2 13 10 7 6 6 123 Kotaro Kudo '21 [1-14]
Taiyo Kuroishi '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Fuyuka Morita '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Sotaro Hayami '21 [5-6, 11-14]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12 14 1 DSQ 3 10 1 11 8 11 9 6 7 12 124 Cassandra Shand '22 [1-14]
Marianne Simpson '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Mary Jane Howland '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 7 9 10 4 14 15 7 6 11 16 6 3 10 9 127 Sarah Paulsen '20
Gina Canzona '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 17 5 12 8 11 2 11 9 9 6 16 16 1 7 150 MRP Julia Jaynes '19 [1-6, 9-14]
Samantha Gray '19 [7-8]
Joseph Presley '19 [1-6, 9-14]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 6 1 16 17 4 7 12 7 15 12 8 14 12 8 159 MRP Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19 [1-6, 9-14]
Erez Buyukyilmaz '21 [7-8]
Matthew Goguen '20 [1-6, 9-14]
Louise King '23 [7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 11 10 6 13 16 18 15 15 12 9 12 9 17 17 180 Carter Dojan '20
Madelyn Carr '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 15 11 17 9 7 13 14 10 13 14 15 18 14 10 180 Millan Chaudhary '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Jack Johnson '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Corey Quillen '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 16 13 15 10 18 12 16 18 14 10 14 13 13 14 196 Alexander Bittner '19 [1-10]
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [11-14]
Fisher Price '20 [1-10]
Molly Rowland '21 [11-14]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 13 16 13 15 17 14 17 17 18 18 13 8 15 11 205 Kevin Gates '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Laura Jones '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Cynthia Kerby '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 10 15 11 14 15 17 13 12 16 17 18 17 16 18 209 Colin Bishop '20 [1-2]
Hannah Stevens '22 [3-6, 9-14]
Steven Dieleman '20 [7-8]
Emma Reynolds '21 [1-4]
Marcus Hougaard '23 [5-14]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 18 17 14 16 9 16 18 13 17 15 17 15 18 13 216 Emily Pooley '19 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Sophia Rosahl '23 [3-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Zhenyu Yin '21 [1-2, 5-10, 13-14]
Andrew Cater '20 [3-4, 11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears9911111313151517171133
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Mama Bears101012121414161618182244
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds881010121214141616181822
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs113355779911111313
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins22446688101012121414
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers33557799111113131515
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green13131515171711335577
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine151517171133557799
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White14141616181822446688
Hosei UniversityHosei University Orange4466881010121214141616
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights5577991111131315151717
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team7799111113131515171711
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks668810101212141416161818
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1111131315151717113355
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons1212141416161818224466
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes16161818224466881010
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies171711335577991111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings18182244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears101012121414161618182244
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Mama Bears1111131315151717113355
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds9911111313151517171133
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs22446688101012121414
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins33557799111113131515
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers4466881010121214141616
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green14141616181822446688
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine16161818224466881010
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White151517171133557799
Hosei UniversityHosei University Orange5577991111131315151717
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights668810101212141416161818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawk Women's Team881010121214141616181822
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks7799111113131515171711
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1212141416161818224466
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons13131515171711335577
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes171711335577991111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies18182244668810101212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings113355779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Kai Ponting '23 [1-14] Maddie Roman '20 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Robyn Zulauf '20 [3-4, 7-10, 13-14]
Mustangs Millan Chaudhary '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Jack Johnson '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Corey Quillen '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Andrew Clements '17 Olivia Feito '22
Dolphins Kevin Gates '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Laura Jones '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Cynthia Kerby '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 Sean Ward '22
49ers Julia Jaynes '19 [1-6, 9-14]
Samantha Gray '19 [7-8]		 Joseph Presley '19 [1-6, 9-14]
Hosei University Hosei University Naru Ito '21 [1-14] Fuyuka Morita '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Sotaro Hayami '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Taiyo Kuroishi '21 [5-6, 11-14]
Orange Kotaro Kudo '21 [1-14] Taiyo Kuroishi '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Fuyuka Morita '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Sotaro Hayami '21 [5-6, 11-14]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Emily Rathburn '19 Adam Warner '22
Scarlet Knights Emily Pooley '19 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Sophia Rosahl '23 [3-6, 9-10, 13-14]		 Zhenyu Yin '21 [1-2, 5-10, 13-14]
Andrew Cater '20 [3-4, 11-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Jennifer Killian '19 Madeline Lark '20
Seahawk Women's Team Grace Vincens '20 Jennifer Ryan '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Joey Lark '21 [1-8, 11-14]
Alex Bowdler '22 [9-10]		 Peter Cronin '22 [1-10]
Caroline King '21 [11-14]
Seahawks Anthony Root '22 [1-8, 13-14]
Lucie Ford '20 [9-12]		 Caroline Mcneil '22 [1-8]
Alexa Percell '20 [9-14]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Benjamin Brown '22 [1-4, 7-12]
Kayden Polachek '22 [5-6, 13-14]		 Lauren Wittkopf '22 [1-4, 7-12]
Erika Molby '21 [5-6, 13-14]
UBC Thunderbirds Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19 [1-6, 9-14]
Erez Buyukyilmaz '21 [7-8]		 Matthew Goguen '20 [1-6, 9-14]
Louise King '23 [7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Drake Hayes '21 Avery Burke '20
Bears Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Kylie Fawcett '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ciara Dorsay '21 Paris Sato '21
Mama Bears Sarah Paulsen '20 Gina Canzona '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Leah Ford '19 [1-14] Christopher Dinkel '21 [1-12]
Mary Jane Howland '22 [13-14]
Bruins Cassandra Shand '22 [1-14] Marianne Simpson '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Mary Jane Howland '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Daniel Vick '19 [1-10]
Erika Barth '16 [11-14]		 Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20 [1-10]
Chieko Imai '20 [11-14]
Tritons Alexander Bittner '19 [1-10]
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [11-14]		 Fisher Price '20 [1-10]
Molly Rowland '21 [11-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Michael Pacholski '19 Devon Stapleton '22
Rainbow Green Patrick Wilkinson '20 [1-14] Danielle Ahir '20 [1-4, 7-14]
Shane Snow '20 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Annika Garrett '19 [1-14] Megan Lucas '20 [1-6, 9-14]
Megan Zamzow '19 [7-8]
Rainbow Wahine Hayden Lahr '22 Paige Sullivan '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Mathew Butler '19 [1-14] Jemma Baird '22 [1-6, 11-14]
Sophie Deming '20 [7-10]
Rainbow White Tanner Gee '22 [1-14] Shelby Hastings '22 [1-4, 7-8, 11-14]
Isabelle Anderson '20 [5-6]
Cantlen Forni '19 [9-10]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Hannah Stevens '22 [1-2, 9-10]
Steven Dieleman '20 [3-6, 11-14]
Colin Bishop '20 [7-8]		 Marcus Hougaard '23 [1-4]
Colin Bishop '20 [5-6, 11-14]
Emma Reynolds '21 [7-10]
Vikes Colin Bishop '20 [1-2]
Hannah Stevens '22 [3-6, 9-14]
Steven Dieleman '20 [7-8]		 Emma Reynolds '21 [1-4]
Marcus Hougaard '23 [5-14]
University of Washington University of Washington Erik Skeel '20 [1-14] Sarah Kahle '22 [1-12]
John Kauffman '22 [13-14]
Huskies Hayden Potter '20 [1-14] Elizabeth Murphy '22 [1-4, 7-14]
John Kauffman '22 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Chandler Sharp '19 Reilly Berkshire '20
Vikings Carter Dojan '20 Madelyn Carr '20

Conditions — 01/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 13.5 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →