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St. Francis Interconference

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 38 59 97
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 57 41 98
3 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 68 43 111
4 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 65 53 118
5 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 75 53 128
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 68 70 138
7 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 79 61 140
8 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 106 48 154
9 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 83 86 169
10 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 73 96 169
11 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 91 100 191
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 95 104 199
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 108 95 203
14 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 120 116 236
15 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 108 135 243
16 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 160 138 298
17 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 125 174 299
18 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 150 157 307
19 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 174 135 309
20 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 157 155 312
21 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 176 163 339
22 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 197 204 401
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 10 7 2 1 2 1 1 5 9 38 John Kirkpatrick '22
Laurel Foster '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 3 1 15 10 7 10 3 7 1 57 Sampson Reynolds '21
Catherine Reynolds '22
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 DNF 1 12 4 5 14 3 2 65 Ciara Rodriguez-Horan '22 [1-9]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Sophia Ricker '19 [5-6]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 4 DNF 3 7 6 3 5 10 7 68 Benjamin Rohr '19
Emi Stephanoff '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 8 7 13 5 7 4 8 11 68 Drake Hayes '21 [1-9]
Megan Grosspietsch '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 8 4 8 19 3 4 9 13 5 73 Madeline Kraus '20
Madeline Miller '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 2 12 11 1 12 16 1 18 75 Alex Demmler '19 [1-9]
Kaela Riha '19 [1-8]
Jeffrey Eismann '22 [9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 6 DNF 10 9 11 6 6 2 6 79 Sarah Alexander '19 [1-9]
Sabrina Moreno '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Lauren Lopez '20 [5-6]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 7 3 4 2 17 18 15 4 13 83 Karl Skeel '20
Avery Wolf '21
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 13 5 14 3 12 13 13 6 12 91 Annika Garrett '19
Megan Lucas '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 11 9 13 4 14 14 2 11 17 95 Alyson Crowley '20
Helen Payne '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 15 DNF 9 15 8 11 8 9 8 106 Michael Pacholski '19
Devon Stapleton '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 12 DNF 19 8 10 2 12 18 4 108 Aitor Iriso '21 [1-9]
Graham Lasser '19 [1-8]
Dylan Yong '21 [9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 14 DNF 5 6 15 8 10 12 15 108 Axel Greening '21 [1-9]
Julia Soes '21 [1-2]
Emily Tan '20 [3-4]
Alanna Halliday '21 [5-9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 17 6 6 16 9 9 18 19 20 120 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 [1-9]
Mary Jane Howland '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Maddy Kuhn '20 [5-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 9 DNF 11 5 19 21 7 16 14 125 Nicholas Dorn '22
Alexander Bittner '19
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 19 DNF 20 14 18 15 17 21 3 150 Andrew Clements '17
Olivia Feito '22
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 DNF 22 22 13 17 19 15 10 157 Drake Baldwin '20 [1-9]
Madeline Bachus '19 [1-4]
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [5-9]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 18 DNF 16 20 16 20 11 20 16 160 Erik Hallback '21
Gabriel Marra '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 20 DNF 18 17 21 19 20 17 19 174 Jay Weber '20 [1-6]
Charis Todd '18 [7-9]
John Rzepczynski '21 [1-4]
Daniel Gutierrez-Monge '22 [5-6]
Gaby Ahlstrom '20 [7]
Jay Weber '20 [8-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 22 DNF 21 18 20 16 21 14 21 176 Mitchell Carroll '21
Matt Elliott '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 21 DNF 17 21 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 197 Sofia Mack '20
Savannah Hallgarth '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 3 9 4 5 2 1 8 8 1 41 Joseph Politi '22
Olivia Beers '21
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 5 5 3 6 2 2 10 5 43 Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21
Kian Patrick '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 2 7 8 4 5 3 9 2 8 48 Patrick Wilkinson '20 [1-9]
Danielle Ahir '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Shane Snow '20 [5-6]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 4 11 2 7 7 13 1 5 3 53 Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-9]
Julia Jaynes '19 [1-6, 9]
Connor Kobel '19 [7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 7 4 6 9 3 6 7 7 4 53 Caelan Watts '21
Kate Lenhard '21
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 12 10 1 2 12 7 4 4 7 59 Sophia Sole '21
Cassie Obel '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 8 3 3 1 1 17 OCS 3 2 61 Nicholas Stefanoni '21 [1-9]
Kai Otsmaa '21 [1-8]
Clifford Lester '19 [9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 13 13 9 6 4 5 10 1 9 70 Nicolai Sponholtz '19 [1-9]
Lindsea Hayes '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Avery Burke '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 20 17 8 13 4 11 6 6 86 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 10 14 7 14 11 9 5 13 12 95 Dillon Kilroy '19 [1-9]
Alanna Halliday '21 [1-2]
Julia Soes '21 [3-4]
Emily Tan '20 [5-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 11 6 16 12 14 11 3 12 11 96 Margot Mason '21
Pyper Atkin '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 9 2 14 11 8 14 17 9 16 100 Hayden Lahr '22
Paige Sullivan '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 14 12 13 10 10 8 13 14 10 104 Josselyn Verutti '21 [1-9]
Maddie Roman '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Robyn Zulauf '20 [3-4]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 15 19 10 16 9 16 6 11 14 116 Leah Ford '19
Hallie Muller '20
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 8 11 15 17 20 16 21 21 135 Peter Collins '20 [1-6]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [7-9]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [1-6]
Daniel Gutierrez-Monge '22 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 16 1 19 18 16 12 19 15 19 135 James Melvin '19
Marcus Leitner '22
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 18 18 12 13 18 10 15 16 18 138 Adam Wild '20
Andrew Bittner '21
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 19 17 18 17 19 18 14 20 13 155 Parker Kulavic '22
Jessica Woodruff '21
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 17 21 15 19 21 19 12 18 15 157 Laura Jones '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Kevin Gates '27 [3-4]
Kaylena Mann '22 [1-2, 5-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 20 15 20 21 15 15 20 17 20 163 Millan Chaudhary '21
Corey Quillen '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 22 16 21 20 20 21 18 19 17 174 Daniel Vick '19
Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 21 22 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 204 Nina-Katreen Hipkins '21
Sofia Malinovsky '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2444444444
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers494949494949494949
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs161616161616161616
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121212121
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave222222222222222222
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2343434343434343434
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings444444444444111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2444444444
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers494949494949494949
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs161616161616161616
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121212121
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave222222222222222222
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2343434343434343434
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings444444444444111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mitchell Carroll '21 Matt Elliott '20
Mustangs 1 Millan Chaudhary '21 Corey Quillen '22
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Alyson Crowley '20 Helen Payne '19
Mustangs 2 Josselyn Verutti '21 [1-9] Maddie Roman '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Robyn Zulauf '20 [3-4]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Benjamin Rohr '19 Emi Stephanoff '21
Keelhaulers Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 Kian Patrick '20
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Andrew Clements '17 Olivia Feito '22
Dolphins Laura Jones '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Kevin Gates '27 [3-4]		 Kaylena Mann '22 [1-2, 5-9]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 [1-9] Kaela Riha '19 [1-8]
Jeffrey Eismann '22 [9]
49ers Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-9] Julia Jaynes '19 [1-6, 9]
Connor Kobel '19 [7-8]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Erik Hallback '21 Gabriel Marra '21
Aztecs Adam Wild '20 Andrew Bittner '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Jay Weber '20 [1-6]
Charis Todd '18 [7-9]		 John Rzepczynski '21 [1-4]
Daniel Gutierrez-Monge '22 [5-6]
Gaby Ahlstrom '20 [7]
Jay Weber '20 [8-9]
Broncos Peter Collins '20 [1-6]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [7-9]		 Bennett Dorsey '22 [1-6]
Daniel Gutierrez-Monge '22 [7-9]
Stanford University Stanford University John Kirkpatrick '22 Laurel Foster '22
Cardinal Sophia Sole '21 Cassie Obel '19
Tulane University Tulane University Ciara Rodriguez-Horan '22 [1-9] Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Sophia Ricker '19 [5-6]
Green Wave Caelan Watts '21 Kate Lenhard '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Drake Hayes '21 [1-9] Megan Grosspietsch '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [5-6]
Bears Nicolai Sponholtz '19 [1-9] Lindsea Hayes '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Avery Burke '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Drake Baldwin '20 [1-9] Madeline Bachus '19 [1-4]
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [5-9]
Anteaters Parker Kulavic '22 Jessica Woodruff '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 [1-9] Mary Jane Howland '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Maddy Kuhn '20 [5-6]
Bruins Leah Ford '19 Hallie Muller '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicholas Dorn '22 Alexander Bittner '19
Tritons Daniel Vick '19 Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sampson Reynolds '21 Catherine Reynolds '22
Gauchos 1 Joseph Politi '22 Olivia Beers '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Madeline Kraus '20 Madeline Miller '20
Gauchos 2 Margot Mason '21 Pyper Atkin '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Sofia Mack '20 Savannah Hallgarth '22
Banana Slug's 1 Nina-Katreen Hipkins '21 Sofia Malinovsky '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Aitor Iriso '21 [1-9] Graham Lasser '19 [1-8]
Dylan Yong '21 [9]
Banana Slug's 2 James Melvin '19 Marcus Leitner '22
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Michael Pacholski '19 Devon Stapleton '22
Rainbows 1 Patrick Wilkinson '20 [1-9] Danielle Ahir '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Shane Snow '20 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Annika Garrett '19 Megan Lucas '20
Rainbows 2 Hayden Lahr '22 Paige Sullivan '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Sarah Alexander '19 [1-9] Sabrina Moreno '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Lauren Lopez '20 [5-6]
Trojans Nicholas Stefanoni '21 [1-9] Kai Otsmaa '21 [1-8]
Clifford Lester '19 [9]
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Skeel '20 Avery Wolf '21
Huskies Hayden Potter '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Axel Greening '21 [1-9] Julia Soes '21 [1-2]
Emily Tan '20 [3-4]
Alanna Halliday '21 [5-9]
Vikings Dillon Kilroy '19 [1-9] Alanna Halliday '21 [1-2]
Julia Soes '21 [3-4]
Emily Tan '20 [5-9]

Conditions — 03/30/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1023.8 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From NNW (340°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1023.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · N 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →