California Maritime Academy '21
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.58 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 23 | Fall 2019 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.32 (fleet 3.21) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 63–39 (62%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 3 | 15–16 | — |
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 9–6 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 2 | 14–12 | — |
| Spring 2018 | 2 | 25–5 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 8 graded regattas (102 matches) the record is 63–39 against 63.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.6). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 9 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-08 | Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.60 | 1.35 | 5–4 | 6.0 | −1.25 | 1.0 | 97% |
| 2022-02-26 | Jeremy McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 2.65 | 2.81 | 3–12 | 2.8 | +0.17 | 0.0 | 59% |
| 2022-02-12 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 2.66 | 5.66 | 7–0 | 6.7 | ≥+3.00 | 0.4 | 73% |
| 2020-02-01 | Gaucho Team Race | skipper | 2.59 | 2.08 | 9–6 | 9.9 | −0.51 | 0.3 | 86% |
| 2019-02-23 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 2.36 | 1.60 | 7–9 | 8.7 | −0.76 | 0.9 | 93% |
| 2019-02-09 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 2.38 | 1.11 | 7–3 | 8.7 | −1.27 | 1.7 | 98% |
| 2018-02-10 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 2.35 | 5.35 | 17–0 | 15.3 | ≥+3.00 | 2.7 | 14% |
| 2018-01-27 | Gaucho Team Race | skipper | 1.86 | 3.02 | 8–5 | 5.5 | +1.17 | 2.0 | 10% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.3 | 4.83 |
| Mark Healy PCCSC Open Conference Championship | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.9 | 2.93 |
| North Designate/St. Francis | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.0 | 2.70 |
| Jeremy McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| Jeff Simon Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 3.0 | 4.18 |
| Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 2.6 | — |
| Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 9 | 56% | — |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 6 | 100% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.0 | 3.43 |
| Stoney Burke Co-Ed Varsity | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.9 | 3.09 |
| Shields Trophy Regatta Keelboat | Crew | A | 4 | 3.8 | — |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.5 | 2.94 |
| 2022 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 7 | 5.4 | 3.66 |
| 2021 Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 3.4 | — |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Gaucho Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 60% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke Varsity | Skipper | A | 11 | 7.9 | 2.60 |
| Shields Trophy Regatta Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 1.6 | — |
| PCCSC Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 8.2 | 2.43 |
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 4.0 | — |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | C | 8 | 3.5 | 3.55 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Francis Interconference | Skipper | B | 9 | 4.8 | 3.32 |
| Mustang Open Varsity | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.0 | 2.75 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 44% | — |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 86% | — |
| Anteater Open | Skipper | B | 9 | 2.1 | 2.99 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Frosh/Soph | Skipper | B | 9 | 3.0 | 3.23 |
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.2 | 2.01 |
| PCCSC Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.9 | 2.76 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | C | 5 | 5.2 | 2.94 |
| 2019 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.0 | 3.42 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.4 | 2.85 |
| Gaucho Team Race | Skipper | TR | 13 | 62% | — |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 100% | — |
| 2018 St. Francis Invite | Skipper | B | 17 | 6.4 | 2.43 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
