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Fall Pacific Coast Championship

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 34 33 21 88
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 28 37 36 101
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 64 37 82 183
4 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 90 59 46 195
5 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 51 96 67 214
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 87 68 78 233
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 101 96 42 239
8 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 75 70 110 255
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 77 102 101 280
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 121 109 76 306
11 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 101 104 129 334
12 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 149 105 144 398
13 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 183 136 124 443
14 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 157 148 184 489
15 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 138 174 180 492
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 108 195 191 494
17 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 190 188 132 510
18 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 179 188 171 538
19 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 183 205 210 598
20 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 200 178 225 603
21 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 226 215 200 641
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 10 1 7 1 28 Romain Screve '21
Sammy Pickell '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 3 1 3 2 2 3 1 2 8 7 34 Lucas Pierce '21
Samantha Obel '21
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 5 5 2 6 3 4 11 5 3 2 51 Johannes Mcelvain '18
Hailey Thompson '22
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 6 1 4 7 11 9 13 3 6 1 3 64 Sarah Alexander '19
Sabrina Moreno '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 3 9 7 10 4 6 5 2 12 9 8 75 Madeline Kraus '20
Mary Toomey '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 7 6 6 9 12 11 2 5 3 4 12 77 Drake Hayes '21
Megan Grosspietsch '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 10 8 3 8 3 13 14 4 7 2 15 87 Michael Pacholski '19
Devon Stapleton '22
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 8 4 DSQ 4 7 4 9 8 4 6 14 90 Nicholas Stefanoni '21
Clifford Lester '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 4 15 9 12 10 12 7 12 9 5 6 101 Alex Demmler '19 [1-11]
Kaela Riha '19 [1-6]
Clara Baillie '21 [7-11]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 9 7 13 13 8 5 11 9 11 10 5 101 Erik Skeel '20
Rachel Cohen '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 12 11 10 18 5 7 6 6 13 11 9 108 Erika Barth '16
Chieko Imai '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 11 10 8 6 17 10 8 7 17 17 10 121 Ben Brough '19
Grace Vandervort '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 14 12 15 14 16 8 10 13 14 18 4 138 Ezekiel Ward '20
Fiona Mcbride '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 13 13 12 11 18 16 16 14 8 12 16 149 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Marianne Simpson '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 20 14 14 5 15 14 18 19 10 15 13 157 Jayden Potter '21
Jenna Rutledge '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 18 17 16 16 9 15 21 15 18 14 20 179 Robbie Culkin '19
Charis Todd '18
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 17 19 11 19 21 21 12 16 16 13 18 183 Julian Weiswasser '19
Dylan Yong '21
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 19 16 19 15 14 18 15 17 20 19 11 183 Drake Baldwin '20
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 16 18 18 21 13 17 19 18 15 16 19 190 Caitlyn Shum '22 [1, 3-4, 7-8, 11]
Lukas Koch '21 [2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lukas Koch '21 [1, 3-4, 7-8, 11]
Caitlyn Shum '22 [2, 5-6, 9-10]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 15 20 17 17 19 19 17 20 19 20 17 200 Liam Patrick '22
Jason Gronich '21
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 21 21 20 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 226 Nicholas Theut '19 [1-10]
Emelia Dolson '21 [11]
Ciara Harding '22 [1-10]
Brianna Orrill '21 [11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 2 3 4 2 4 2 12 1 1 1 33 David Eastwood '22
Claire Hunt '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 5 4 2 4 1 1 4 3 5 5 37 Jacob Rosenberg '20
Kathryn Booker '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 4 3 1 7 3 2 4 3 2 6 2 37 Grace Yakutis '20
Lorea Mendiguren '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 6 4 2 1 12 5 8 2 11 4 4 59 Will Paulsen '19
Katie Mcallister '21
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 1 6 3 1 7 6 5 12 3 OCS 68 Patrick Wilkinson '20
Danielle Ahir '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 12 9 11 5 6 6 7 1 8 2 3 70 Kerri Luttrell '21
Olivia Beers '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 7 7 12 12 5 9 3 10 10 10 11 96 Connor Hughes '19
Joanna Garcia '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 8 12 5 11 13 17 5 7 4 7 7 96 Benjamin Rohr '19
Emi Stephanoff '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 11 10 10 10 10 3 21 6 5 8 8 102 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Gina Canzona '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 10 8 7 6 7 8 11 8 13 12 14 104 Timothy Zimmermann '19
Connor Kobel '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 9 17 8 9 8 10 9 9 7 13 6 105 Leah Ford '19
Maddy Kuhn '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 5 6 9 8 14 12 16 11 9 9 10 109 Will Cefali '19
Alyson Crowley '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 16 11 13 13 9 15 12 18 6 11 12 136 James Melvin '19
Katherine Sonnenfeldt '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 13 14 15 18 11 11 13 15 15 14 9 148 James Letchinger '20
Jodie Jacobs '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 14 13 16 17 21 13 20 16 16 15 13 174 Niko Twilla '21
Rebecca Sharp '22
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 17 19 14 14 16 14 17 14 17 17 19 178 Caila Devlin '21
Clover Stubbert '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 15 20 20 15 15 20 14 17 18 16 18 188 Charlotte Clark '21
Shawna Eggleston '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 18 15 18 16 18 18 18 13 20 18 16 188 Allison Glover '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Lilah Foster '21 [5-6, 9-11]
John Rzepczynski '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Austin Johnson '22 [3-4, 9-11]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 19 16 19 20 19 16 15 19 14 21 17 195 Molly Rowland '21 [1-6]
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [7-11]
Keiran Hadley '21 [1-6]
Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20 [7-11]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters DNF 18 17 21 17 19 10 20 21 20 20 205 Parker Kulavic '22
Madeline Bachus '19
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 20 21 21 19 20 21 19 21 19 19 15 215 Haley Nadone '20 [1-11]
Antoine Kepczyk '22 [1-10]
Corbin Bendel '20 [11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 1 1 1 4 2 1 4 1 1 3 21 Quinn Wilson '21
Sampson Reynolds '21
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 2 2 5 2 6 3 3 2 6 1 36 John Kirkpatrick '22
Laurel Foster '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 5 6 3 1 1 5 2 3 11 4 42 Karl Skeel '20
Cora Knauss '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 3 4 2 5 5 2 1 5 8 8 46 Upamanyu Dutta '20 [1-4, 7-11]
Spencer Paulsen '21 [5-6]
Kai Otsmaa '21 [1-4, 7-11]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 13 7 4 9 3 4 5 8 3 6 67 Brock Paquin '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Bennett Zemke '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 6 4 5 8 3 9 9 7 6 10 9 76 Liam Hood '20
Peyton Nienaber '22
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 11 6 3 7 12 10 8 10 7 2 2 78 Annika Garrett '19 [1-4, 7-11]
Mathew Butler '19 [5-6]
Megan Lucas '20 [1-4, 7-11]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 8 8 9 11 8 4 6 6 10 7 5 82 Diya Correa '22
Rachel Leipold '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 10 12 DNS 6 7 11 7 8 4 4 10 101 Ciara Dorsay '21
Paris Sato '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 9 10 8 10 14 7 17 9 14 5 7 110 Margot Mason '21
Catherine Reynolds '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 13 7 11 12 6 13 12 14 12 12 12 124 Alexis Miller '20
David Gann '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 14 9 13 13 10 8 14 15 9 13 11 129 Julia Jaynes '19
Joseph Presley '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 7 11 10 9 11 12 10 13 16 15 18 132 Gabriel Sanchez '21
Colin Bishop '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12 17 12 18 16 14 11 11 11 9 13 144 Abraham Dearden '20
Sarah Sullivan '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 15 14 15 14 13 16 16 17 19 17 15 171 Peter Collins '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jay Weber '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Jay Weber '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Lilah Foster '21 [3-4]
Megan Conrad '22 [5-8]
Gaby Ahlstrom '20 [11]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 17 18 14 20 15 19 13 16 15 16 17 180 Tor Gammelin '22
Hayley Rawden '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies DNS 16 17 15 20 15 DNS 12 17 14 14 184 Konrad Brine '20
Brianna Pinto '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 19 19 16 16 17 18 19 18 13 20 16 191 Warren Ko '19
Irving Hui '19
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 16 15 18 17 18 17 15 20 DSQ 21 21 200 Carson Engle '20 [1-11]
Alyssa Ray '20 [1-10]
Cristina Port '20 [11]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 18 20 19 19 21 21 18 19 18 18 19 210 Jesse Campbell '19
Trevor Tuck '22
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters DNF 21 20 21 19 20 DNS 21 20 19 20 225 Max Graves '22
Ethan Switzer '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils3939393939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2323232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101101101101101
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows3535353535353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1111111111111111111111
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 23838383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal211211211211211211211211211211211
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4747474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2727272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3333333333333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8484848484848484848484
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies8181818181818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings321321321321321321321321321321321

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils3939393939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2323232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101101101101101
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows3535353535353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1111111111111111111111
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 23838383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal211211211211211211211211211211211
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4747474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2727272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3333333333333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8484848484848484848484
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies8181818181818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings321321321321321321321321321321321

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils3939393939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2323232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101101101101101
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows3535353535353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1111111111111111111111
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 23838383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal211211211211211211211211211211211
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4747474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2727272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3333333333333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8484848484848484848484
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies8181818181818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings321321321321321321321321321321321
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Nicholas Theut '19 [1-10]
Emelia Dolson '21 [11]		 Ciara Harding '22 [1-10]
Brianna Orrill '21 [11]
Sun Devils Haley Nadone '20 [1-11] Antoine Kepczyk '22 [1-10]
Corbin Bendel '20 [11]
Carson Engle '20 [1-11] Alyssa Ray '20 [1-10]
Cristina Port '20 [11]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Grace Vandervort '21
Mustang Will Cefali '19 Alyson Crowley '20
Liam Hood '20 Peyton Nienaber '22
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 Hailey Thompson '22
Keelhaulers Benjamin Rohr '19 Emi Stephanoff '21
Brock Paquin '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jacob Fisker-Andersen '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11]		 Bennett Zemke '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 [1-11] Kaela Riha '19 [1-6]
Clara Baillie '21 [7-11]
49ers Timothy Zimmermann '19 Connor Kobel '19
Julia Jaynes '19 Joseph Presley '19
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Liam Patrick '22 Jason Gronich '21
Otters Caila Devlin '21 Clover Stubbert '20
Max Graves '22 Ethan Switzer '22
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Robbie Culkin '19 Charis Todd '18
Broncos Allison Glover '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Lilah Foster '21 [5-6, 9-11]		 John Rzepczynski '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Austin Johnson '22 [3-4, 9-11]
Peter Collins '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jay Weber '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]		 Jay Weber '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Lilah Foster '21 [3-4]
Megan Conrad '22 [5-8]
Gaby Ahlstrom '20 [11]
Stanford University Stanford University Romain Screve '21 Sammy Pickell '22
Cardinal Jacob Rosenberg '20 Kathryn Booker '19
John Kirkpatrick '22 Laurel Foster '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Drake Hayes '21 Megan Grosspietsch '20
Bears Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Gina Canzona '19
Ciara Dorsay '21 Paris Sato '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jayden Potter '21 Jenna Rutledge '19
Aggies James Letchinger '20 Jodie Jacobs '20
Konrad Brine '20 Brianna Pinto '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Drake Baldwin '20 Paulo Garcia Lopez '21
Anteaters Parker Kulavic '22 Madeline Bachus '19
Jesse Campbell '19 Trevor Tuck '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Marianne Simpson '19
Bruins Leah Ford '19 Maddy Kuhn '20
Abraham Dearden '20 Sarah Sullivan '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Erika Barth '16 Chieko Imai '20
Tritons Molly Rowland '21 [1-6]
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [7-11]		 Keiran Hadley '21 [1-6]
Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20 [7-11]
Warren Ko '19 Irving Hui '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Lucas Pierce '21 Samantha Obel '21
Gauchos 1 David Eastwood '22 Claire Hunt '19
Quinn Wilson '21 Sampson Reynolds '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Madeline Kraus '20 Mary Toomey '22
Gauchos 2 Kerri Luttrell '21 Olivia Beers '21
Margot Mason '21 Catherine Reynolds '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Julian Weiswasser '19 Dylan Yong '21
Banana Slug's James Melvin '19 Katherine Sonnenfeldt '20
Alexis Miller '20 David Gann '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Michael Pacholski '19 Devon Stapleton '22
Rainbows Patrick Wilkinson '20 Danielle Ahir '20
Annika Garrett '19 [1-4, 7-11]
Mathew Butler '19 [5-6]		 Megan Lucas '20 [1-4, 7-11]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Nicholas Stefanoni '21 Clifford Lester '19
Trojans 1 Will Paulsen '19 Katie Mcallister '21
Upamanyu Dutta '20 [1-4, 7-11]
Spencer Paulsen '21 [5-6]		 Kai Otsmaa '21 [1-4, 7-11]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Sarah Alexander '19 Sabrina Moreno '19
Trojans 2 Grace Yakutis '20 Lorea Mendiguren '20
Diya Correa '22 Rachel Leipold '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Caitlyn Shum '22 [1, 3-4, 7-8, 11]
Lukas Koch '21 [2, 5-6, 9-10]		 Lukas Koch '21 [1, 3-4, 7-8, 11]
Caitlyn Shum '22 [2, 5-6, 9-10]
Vikes Charlotte Clark '21 Shawna Eggleston '21
Gabriel Sanchez '21 Colin Bishop '20
University of Washington University of Washington Erik Skeel '20 Rachel Cohen '19
Huskies Connor Hughes '19 Joanna Garcia '19
Karl Skeel '20 Cora Knauss '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ezekiel Ward '20 Fiona Mcbride '21
Vikings Niko Twilla '21 Rebecca Sharp '22
Tor Gammelin '22 Hayley Rawden '20

Conditions — 11/10/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 33%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From SSW (196°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity33% Pressure1014.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.05)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →